Archive for May, 2010

 

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

A temporary top is in place at 91.60 with 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. At this point, another rise cannot be ruled out. But after all, price actions from 88.25 are consolidative in nature. Hence, we’d expect upside to

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

A temporary top is in place at 91.60 with 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. At this point, another rise cannot be ruled out. But after all, price actions from 88.25 are consolidative in nature. Hence, we’d expect upside to

Forex Economic Calendar

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
6/1/2010 01:30 AUS Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) 0.3% 0.3%
6/1/2010 04:30 AUS RBA CASH TARGET 4.50% 4.50%
6/1/2010 06:00 GE Retail Sales (YoY) -0.7% 2.7%
6/1/2010 06:30 AUS RBA Commodity Index SDR YoY% n/a 29.4%
6/1/2010 07:55 GE Unemployment Change (000′s) -18K -68K
6/1/2010 08:00 EU PMI Manufacturing 55.9 55.9
6/1/2010 08:30 UK PMI Manufacturing 57.9 58.0
6/1/2010 09:00 EU Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 10.0% 10.0%
6/1/2010 13:00 CA Bank of Canada Rate 0.50% 0.25%
6/1/2010 14:00 US ISM Manufacturing 59.5 60.4
6/1/2010 14:30 US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity 18.6% 21.1%
6/1/2010 21:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
6/1/2010 23:50 JPN Monetary Base (YoY) n/a 2.9%
6/2/2010 01:30 AUS GDP (YoY) 2.6% 2.7%
6/2/2010 03:00 NZ ANZ Commodity Price n/a 4.9%
6/2/2010 08:30 UK M4 Money Supply (YoY) n/a 3.3%
6/2/2010 09:00 EU Euro-Zone PPI (YoY) 2.6% 0.9%
6/2/2010 11:30 US Challenger Job Cuts YoY n/a -71.1%
6/2/2010 14:00 US Pending Home Sales YoY 21.0% 23.5%
6/2/2010 21:00 US Total Vehicle Sales 11.45M 11.21M
6/2/2010 23:30 AUS AiG Performance of Service Index n/a 52.3
6/2/2010 23:50 JPN Capital Spending -9.6% -17.3%
6/3/2010 01:30 AUS Trade Balance -800M -2082M
6/3/2010 06:00 UK Nat’wide House Prices nsa (YoY) 9.6% 10.5%
6/3/2010 07:55 GE PMI Services 53.7 53.7
6/3/2010 08:00 EU PMI Composite 56.2 56.2
6/3/2010 08:30 UK Official Reserves (Changes) n/a $561M
6/3/2010 09:00 EU Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) -0.1% 0.0%
6/3/2010 12:15 US ADP Employment Change 60K 32K
6/3/2010 12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
6/3/2010 12:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
6/3/2010 14:00 US Factory Orders 1.1% 1.1%
6/3/2010 14:30 US ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY n/a 0.8%
6/4/2010 09:00 EU Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (YoY) n/a 0.5%
6/4/2010 11:00 CA Net Change in Employment 15.0K 108.7K
6/4/2010 12:30 CA Building Permits MoM -1.0% 12.2%
6/4/2010 12:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls 475K 290K
6/4/2010 14:00 CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index 59.0 58.7
6/6/2010 12:00 NZ QV House Prices YoY% n/a 6.1%
6/6/2010 23:30 AUS AiG Perf of Construction Index n/a 55.8
6/7/2010 01:30 AUS ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) n/a -1.2%
6/7/2010 06:30 AUS Foreign Reserves n/a 44.0B
6/7/2010 08:30 EU Sentix Investor Confidence n/a -6.4
6/7/2010 10:00 GE Factory Orders YoY (nsa) n/a 26.1%
6/7/2010 15:01 NZ New Zealand Manpower Survey n/a 17%
6/7/2010 19:00 US Consumer Credit -$1.0B $2.0B
6/7/2010 22:45 NZ Manufacturing Activity n/a 0.7%
6/7/2010 23:01 UK BRC May Retail Sales Monitor n/a n/a
6/7/2010 23:50 JPN Trade Balance (BoP Basis) n/a Yen1074.7B
6/8/2010 04:30 JPN Bankruptcies (YoY) n/a -13.2%
6/8/2010 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI n/a 102.7
6/8/2010 06:00 JPN Eco Watchers Survey: Current n/a 49.8
6/8/2010 06:00 GE Trade Balance n/a 17.2B
6/8/2010 10:00 GE Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) n/a 8.6%
6/8/2010 11:30 US NFIB Small Business Optimism n/a 90.6
6/8/2010 12:15 CA Housing Starts n/a 200.7K
6/8/2010 14:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism n/a 48.7
6/8/2010 21:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
6/8/2010 23:01 UK BRC May Shop Price Index n/a n/a
6/8/2010 23:50 JPN Machine Orders YoY% n/a 1.2%
6/9/2010 00:30 AUS Westpac Consumer Confidence Index n/a 108.0
6/9/2010 01:30 AUS Home Loans n/a -3.4%
6/9/2010 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a 220.9%
6/9/2010 08:30 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) n/a -GBP3683
6/9/2010 14:00 US Wholesale Inventories 0.6% 0.4%
6/9/2010 18:00 US Fed’s Beige Book n/a n/a
6/9/2010 21:00 NZ RBNZ Official Cash Rate 2.75% 2.50%
6/9/2010 22:30 NZ Business NZ PMI n/a 58.9
6/9/2010 22:45 NZ Terms of Trade Index (QoQ) n/a 5.7%
6/9/2010 23:50 JPN GDP (QoQ) n/a 1.2%
6/10/2010 01:00 AUS Consumer Inflation Expectation n/a 3.6%
6/10/2010 01:30 AUS Employment Change n/a 33.7K
6/10/2010 05:00 JPN Consumer Confidence n/a 42.1
6/10/2010 06:00 GE CPI (YoY) n/a 1.2%
6/10/2010 11:00 UK BOE ANNOUNCES RATES 0.50% 0.50%
6/10/2010 11:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates n/a 1.00%
6/10/2010 12:30 CA Int’l Merchandise Trade n/a 0.3B
6/10/2010 12:30 US Trade Balance -$41.2B -$40.4B
6/10/2010 12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
6/10/2010 12:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
6/10/2010 18:00 US Monthly Budget Statement -$140.0B n/a
6/10/2010 22:45 NZ Food Prices (MoM) n/a -0.5%
6/11/2010 08:30 UK Manufacturing Activity (YoY) n/a 3.3%
6/11/2010 12:30 CA Capacity Utilization Rate n/a 70.9%
6/11/2010 12:30 US Advance Retail Sales 0.1% 0.4%
6/11/2010 13:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence 75.0 73.6
6/11/2010 14:00 US Business Inventories 0.5% 0.4%

* Times listed are GMT

RBA On Hold. Economic Data Suggest Previous Tightening Taking Its Toll

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Consistent with market expectations, the RBA left its overnight cash rate unchanged at 4.5% as previous rate hikes have brought interest rates to average levels of the past decade and the central bank needs to gauge impacts of European policymakers’ measures to contain sovereign crisis. Interestingly, statement skipped detailed discussions

Forex Technical Analytics

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The estimated test of key supports for implementation of the pre-planned buying positions has not been confirmed, but low activity of both parties as a result of the previous trading day, does not suggest any grounds for changing earlier designed trading plans. Therefore, as earlier, we can assume probability of

Chinese PMI Disappoints, US ISM Manuf. To Do So As Well?

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Australian Building Approvals and Chinese PMI disappointed in overnight trading with the former falling 14.8% MoM though it is still up 21.3% YoY. The latter fell to 52.7 from 55.2 and is not far from outright contraction now (another CH PMI also disappointed the market by recording 53.9 vs. 54.5 expected and 55.7 prior).

Markets Consolidate Their Losses On Thin Markets!

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Markets in the US and the UK were enjoying a public holiday yesterday and trading was thin throughout the day. The big boys who like to make their opinions heard during the liquid London/New York overlap were nowhere to be seen and a general USD strength was seen as US

Sentiment Still Looking A Touch Fragile As We Move Into June

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

With markets closed in the UK and US it was a relatively stable affair for currency markets overnight with residual month-end fixing business providing the only major input. However, with liquidity a difficult issue in the thin markets, the moves tended to be exaggerated with EUR dipping some 40 points

Technical Analysis for Crosses

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The GBP/JPY pair declined aggressively, closing below the middle line of Bollinger bands influenced by the previous detailed bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern as seen on the provided four-hour chart. Areas of 123.35 could be re-tested before achieving additional negative actions as we discussed in our weekly report. Therefore the bearishness

Technical Analysis for Major Currencies

May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The pair managed to breach support for the ascending channel that has organized the bullish correction wave, where its breached now and turned into resistance at 1.2315. We could witness some fluctuation that will help the mentioned level to be retested before heading towards the expected bearish intraday trend; main