Archive for May, 2010
May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
A temporary top is in place at 91.60 with 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. At this point, another rise cannot be ruled out. But after all, price actions from 88.25 are consolidative in nature. Hence, we’d expect upside to
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
A temporary top is in place at 91.60 with 4 hours MACD crossed below signal line and intraday bias is turned neutral for the moment. At this point, another rise cannot be ruled out. But after all, price actions from 88.25 are consolidative in nature. Hence, we’d expect upside to
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities
| Date |
Time* |
Source |
Description |
Forecast |
Previous |
| 6/1/2010 |
01:30 |
AUS |
Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) |
0.3% |
0.3% |
| 6/1/2010 |
04:30 |
AUS |
RBA CASH TARGET |
4.50% |
4.50% |
| 6/1/2010 |
06:00 |
GE |
Retail Sales (YoY) |
-0.7% |
2.7% |
| 6/1/2010 |
06:30 |
AUS |
RBA Commodity Index SDR YoY% |
n/a |
29.4% |
| 6/1/2010 |
07:55 |
GE |
Unemployment Change (000′s) |
-18K |
-68K |
| 6/1/2010 |
08:00 |
EU |
PMI Manufacturing |
55.9 |
55.9 |
| 6/1/2010 |
08:30 |
UK |
PMI Manufacturing |
57.9 |
58.0 |
| 6/1/2010 |
09:00 |
EU |
Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate |
10.0% |
10.0% |
| 6/1/2010 |
13:00 |
CA |
Bank of Canada Rate |
0.50% |
0.25% |
| 6/1/2010 |
14:00 |
US |
ISM Manufacturing |
59.5 |
60.4 |
| 6/1/2010 |
14:30 |
US |
Dallas Fed Manf. Activity |
18.6% |
21.1% |
| 6/1/2010 |
21:00 |
US |
ABC Consumer Confidence |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/1/2010 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Monetary Base (YoY) |
n/a |
2.9% |
| 6/2/2010 |
01:30 |
AUS |
GDP (YoY) |
2.6% |
2.7% |
| 6/2/2010 |
03:00 |
NZ |
ANZ Commodity Price |
n/a |
4.9% |
| 6/2/2010 |
08:30 |
UK |
M4 Money Supply (YoY) |
n/a |
3.3% |
| 6/2/2010 |
09:00 |
EU |
Euro-Zone PPI (YoY) |
2.6% |
0.9% |
| 6/2/2010 |
11:30 |
US |
Challenger Job Cuts YoY |
n/a |
-71.1% |
| 6/2/2010 |
14:00 |
US |
Pending Home Sales YoY |
21.0% |
23.5% |
| 6/2/2010 |
21:00 |
US |
Total Vehicle Sales |
11.45M |
11.21M |
| 6/2/2010 |
23:30 |
AUS |
AiG Performance of Service Index |
n/a |
52.3 |
| 6/2/2010 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Capital Spending |
-9.6% |
-17.3% |
| 6/3/2010 |
01:30 |
AUS |
Trade Balance |
-800M |
-2082M |
| 6/3/2010 |
06:00 |
UK |
Nat’wide House Prices nsa (YoY) |
9.6% |
10.5% |
| 6/3/2010 |
07:55 |
GE |
PMI Services |
53.7 |
53.7 |
| 6/3/2010 |
08:00 |
EU |
PMI Composite |
56.2 |
56.2 |
| 6/3/2010 |
08:30 |
UK |
Official Reserves (Changes) |
n/a |
$561M |
| 6/3/2010 |
09:00 |
EU |
Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) |
-0.1% |
0.0% |
| 6/3/2010 |
12:15 |
US |
ADP Employment Change |
60K |
32K |
| 6/3/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Initial Jobless Claims |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/3/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Continuing Claims |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/3/2010 |
14:00 |
US |
Factory Orders |
1.1% |
1.1% |
| 6/3/2010 |
14:30 |
US |
ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY |
n/a |
0.8% |
| 6/4/2010 |
09:00 |
EU |
Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (YoY) |
n/a |
0.5% |
| 6/4/2010 |
11:00 |
CA |
Net Change in Employment |
15.0K |
108.7K |
| 6/4/2010 |
12:30 |
CA |
Building Permits MoM |
-1.0% |
12.2% |
| 6/4/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Change in Nonfarm Payrolls |
475K |
290K |
| 6/4/2010 |
14:00 |
CA |
Ivey Purchasing Managers Index |
59.0 |
58.7 |
| 6/6/2010 |
12:00 |
NZ |
QV House Prices YoY% |
n/a |
6.1% |
| 6/6/2010 |
23:30 |
AUS |
AiG Perf of Construction Index |
n/a |
55.8 |
| 6/7/2010 |
01:30 |
AUS |
ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) |
n/a |
-1.2% |
| 6/7/2010 |
06:30 |
AUS |
Foreign Reserves |
n/a |
44.0B |
| 6/7/2010 |
08:30 |
EU |
Sentix Investor Confidence |
n/a |
-6.4 |
| 6/7/2010 |
10:00 |
GE |
Factory Orders YoY (nsa) |
n/a |
26.1% |
| 6/7/2010 |
15:01 |
NZ |
New Zealand Manpower Survey |
n/a |
17% |
| 6/7/2010 |
19:00 |
US |
Consumer Credit |
-$1.0B |
$2.0B |
| 6/7/2010 |
22:45 |
NZ |
Manufacturing Activity |
n/a |
0.7% |
| 6/7/2010 |
23:01 |
UK |
BRC May Retail Sales Monitor |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/7/2010 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Trade Balance (BoP Basis) |
n/a |
Yen1074.7B |
| 6/8/2010 |
04:30 |
JPN |
Bankruptcies (YoY) |
n/a |
-13.2% |
| 6/8/2010 |
05:00 |
JPN |
Leading Index CI |
n/a |
102.7 |
| 6/8/2010 |
06:00 |
JPN |
Eco Watchers Survey: Current |
n/a |
49.8 |
| 6/8/2010 |
06:00 |
GE |
Trade Balance |
n/a |
17.2B |
| 6/8/2010 |
10:00 |
GE |
Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) |
n/a |
8.6% |
| 6/8/2010 |
11:30 |
US |
NFIB Small Business Optimism |
n/a |
90.6 |
| 6/8/2010 |
12:15 |
CA |
Housing Starts |
n/a |
200.7K |
| 6/8/2010 |
14:00 |
US |
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism |
n/a |
48.7 |
| 6/8/2010 |
21:00 |
US |
ABC Consumer Confidence |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/8/2010 |
23:01 |
UK |
BRC May Shop Price Index |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/8/2010 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Machine Orders YoY% |
n/a |
1.2% |
| 6/9/2010 |
00:30 |
AUS |
Westpac Consumer Confidence Index |
n/a |
108.0 |
| 6/9/2010 |
01:30 |
AUS |
Home Loans |
n/a |
-3.4% |
| 6/9/2010 |
06:00 |
JPN |
Machine Tool Orders (YoY) |
n/a |
220.9% |
| 6/9/2010 |
08:30 |
UK |
Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) |
n/a |
-GBP3683 |
| 6/9/2010 |
14:00 |
US |
Wholesale Inventories |
0.6% |
0.4% |
| 6/9/2010 |
18:00 |
US |
Fed’s Beige Book |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/9/2010 |
21:00 |
NZ |
RBNZ Official Cash Rate |
2.75% |
2.50% |
| 6/9/2010 |
22:30 |
NZ |
Business NZ PMI |
n/a |
58.9 |
| 6/9/2010 |
22:45 |
NZ |
Terms of Trade Index (QoQ) |
n/a |
5.7% |
| 6/9/2010 |
23:50 |
JPN |
GDP (QoQ) |
n/a |
1.2% |
| 6/10/2010 |
01:00 |
AUS |
Consumer Inflation Expectation |
n/a |
3.6% |
| 6/10/2010 |
01:30 |
AUS |
Employment Change |
n/a |
33.7K |
| 6/10/2010 |
05:00 |
JPN |
Consumer Confidence |
n/a |
42.1 |
| 6/10/2010 |
06:00 |
GE |
CPI (YoY) |
n/a |
1.2% |
| 6/10/2010 |
11:00 |
UK |
BOE ANNOUNCES RATES |
0.50% |
0.50% |
| 6/10/2010 |
11:45 |
EU |
ECB Announces Interest Rates |
n/a |
1.00% |
| 6/10/2010 |
12:30 |
CA |
Int’l Merchandise Trade |
n/a |
0.3B |
| 6/10/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Trade Balance |
-$41.2B |
-$40.4B |
| 6/10/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Initial Jobless Claims |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/10/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Continuing Claims |
n/a |
n/a |
| 6/10/2010 |
18:00 |
US |
Monthly Budget Statement |
-$140.0B |
n/a |
| 6/10/2010 |
22:45 |
NZ |
Food Prices (MoM) |
n/a |
-0.5% |
| 6/11/2010 |
08:30 |
UK |
Manufacturing Activity (YoY) |
n/a |
3.3% |
| 6/11/2010 |
12:30 |
CA |
Capacity Utilization Rate |
n/a |
70.9% |
| 6/11/2010 |
12:30 |
US |
Advance Retail Sales |
0.1% |
0.4% |
| 6/11/2010 |
13:55 |
US |
U. of Michigan Confidence |
75.0 |
73.6 |
| 6/11/2010 |
14:00 |
US |
Business Inventories |
0.5% |
0.4% |
* Times listed are GMT
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
Consistent with market expectations, the RBA left its overnight cash rate unchanged at 4.5% as previous rate hikes have brought interest rates to average levels of the past decade and the central bank needs to gauge impacts of European policymakers’ measures to contain sovereign crisis. Interestingly, statement skipped detailed discussions
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The estimated test of key supports for implementation of the pre-planned buying positions has not been confirmed, but low activity of both parties as a result of the previous trading day, does not suggest any grounds for changing earlier designed trading plans. Therefore, as earlier, we can assume probability of
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
Australian Building Approvals and Chinese PMI disappointed in overnight trading with the former falling 14.8% MoM though it is still up 21.3% YoY. The latter fell to 52.7 from 55.2 and is not far from outright contraction now (another CH PMI also disappointed the market by recording 53.9 vs. 54.5 expected and 55.7 prior).
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
Markets in the US and the UK were enjoying a public holiday yesterday and trading was thin throughout the day. The big boys who like to make their opinions heard during the liquid London/New York overlap were nowhere to be seen and a general USD strength was seen as US
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
With markets closed in the UK and US it was a relatively stable affair for currency markets overnight with residual month-end fixing business providing the only major input. However, with liquidity a difficult issue in the thin markets, the moves tended to be exaggerated with EUR dipping some 40 points
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The GBP/JPY pair declined aggressively, closing below the middle line of Bollinger bands influenced by the previous detailed bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern as seen on the provided four-hour chart. Areas of 123.35 could be re-tested before achieving additional negative actions as we discussed in our weekly report. Therefore the bearishness
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May 31, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The pair managed to breach support for the ascending channel that has organized the bullish correction wave, where its breached now and turned into resistance at 1.2315. We could witness some fluctuation that will help the mentioned level to be retested before heading towards the expected bearish intraday trend; main
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