Archive for February 18th, 2010

 

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside for the moment and further fall should be seen to 61.8% projection of 1.6456 to 1.5534 from 1.5814 at 1.5244 next. Break will target next key level at 61.8% retracement of 1.3503 to 1.7043 at 1.4855. On the upside, above 1.5460 minor…

USD/CHF Mid-Day Outlook

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

At this point, intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside with 1.0745 minor support intact. Sustained trading above medium term trend line resistance (now at 1.0866) will pave the way to next target of 161.8% projection of 0.9916 to 1.0506 from 1.0131 at 1.1086 next. On the downside, below…

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside with 91.18 minor support intact. As discussed before, the strong break of 91.26 resistance indicates that whole decline from 93.74 has completed with three waves down to 88.57 already. The corrective structure indicates that whole rise from 84.81 is still in progress….

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside for the moment and further fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.2329 to 1.5143 at 1.3404. Break will set the stage for deeper fall towards 161.8% projection of 1.5143 to 1.4217 from 1.4578 at 1.3076 next. on the upside, above…

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Retreats after Tamer CPI, Sterling Lower on Retail Sales

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Dollar pares some of yesterday’s sharp gain after CPI report showed tamer than expected inflation outlook in US. Headline CPI rose 0.2% mom, 2.6% yoy versus expectation of 0.3% mom, 2.7% yoy. Core PI indeed dropped -0.1% mom with yoy rate moderated from 1.8% to 1.6%. Also released in US…

USD Mixed, Discount Rate Hike Not a Policy Change

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD traded at a nine month high supported by the Fed’s surprise decision to hike the discount rate late Thursday afternoon, Fed officials said the rate hike is not an indication of policy direction but a move towards normalization, the rate hike is not signal of a policy change…

Great FOMC Timing

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

It is now all about the interest rate in regard to valuations on Forex pairs, and for the first time since the sub-prime and credit-crisis started to unfold, market participants will be positioning for the longer-term rather than positioning for whatever comes tomorrow. The very reactive, intra-day, traders market will…

Euroland: PMI Signals Rebound on Track

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

This is comforting reading. The European rebound remains on track despite the disappointing Q4 GDP data. New orders currently indicate growth of about 2% q/q annualised in Q1 10. German manufacturing PMI looks particularly strong now. It finally overtook French manufacturing PMI as we have been waiting for. This makes…

GBP/JPY Retracement Pattern

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

4H: The GBP/JPY pair has been slowly climbing the last 2 weeks. The Friday Asian-European session however started to retracement this rally from 138.30 to 143.60. The retracement actually started with the 2-bar reversal at the 143.60 top on the Feb. 17th session. Now a second leg of the retracement…

Forex Economic Calendar

Feb 18, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
2/19/2010 02:00 NZ Credit Card Spending Index
2/19/2010 02:00 NZ Credit Card Spending MoM
2/19/2010 02:00 NZ Credit Card Spending YoY
2/19/2010 04:30 JPN All Industry Activity Index (MoM) 0.1% 0.1%
2/19/2010 05:00 JPN BoJ Monthly Report n/a n/a
2/19/2010 07:00 GE Producer Prices (YoY) -4.0% -5.2%
2/19/2010 08:30 GE PMI Manufacturing 53.8 53.7
2/19/2010 09:00 EU ECB Euro-Zone Current Account n/a 0.1B
2/19/2010 09:30 UK Retail Sales Ex Auto Fuel(YoY) 1.1% 2.1%
2/19/2010 13:30 CA Retail Sales MoM 0.5% -0.3%
2/19/2010 13:30 US CPI (YoY) 2.8% 2.7%
2/22/2010 00:30 AUS New Motor Vehicle Sales YoY n/a 17.2%
2/22/2010 07:00 JPN Convenience Store Sales YoY n/a -5.5%
2/22/2010 13:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index n/a -0.61
2/22/2010 15:30 US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity n/a 8.3%
2/22/2010 23:50 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes for Jan. n/a n/a
2/23/2010 07:00 AUS RBA Deputy Bank Governor Battellino speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
2/23/2010 09:00 GE IFO n/a n/a
2/23/2010 09:30 UK BBA Loans for House Purchase n/a 45897
2/23/2010 14:00 US S&P/CS Composite-20 YoY n/a -5.3%
2/23/2010 15:00 US Consumer Confidence 56.0 55.9
2/23/2010 15:00 US Richmond Fed Manufact. Index n/a -2
2/23/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
2/23/2010 23:00 AUS Conference Board Leading Index n/a -0.3%
2/23/2010 23:50 JPN Corp Service Price (YoY) n/a -1.5%
2/24/2010 00:30 AUS Wage Cost Index YoY n/a 3.6%
2/24/2010 02:00 NZ RBNZ 2yr Inflation Expectation n/a 2.6%
2/24/2010 05:00 JPN Small Business Confidence n/a 41.3
2/24/2010 07:00 GE GDP nsa (YoY) n/a n/a
2/24/2010 10:00 EU Industrial New Orders SA (YoY) n/a -0.5%
2/24/2010 15:00 US New Home Sales 352K 342K
2/25/2010 02:00 NZ Money Supply M3 YoY n/a -1.1%
2/25/2010 08:55 GE Unemployment Change (000′s) n/a 6K
2/25/2010 09:00 EU Euro-Zone M3 s.a. (YoY) n/a -0.2%
2/25/2010 09:30 UK Total Business Investment (YoY) n/a -19.9%
2/25/2010 10:00 EU Business Climate Indicator n/a -1.12
2/25/2010 11:00 UK U.K. CBI February Distributive Trades n/a n/a
2/25/2010 13:30 US Durable Goods Orders 1.5% 0.3%
2/25/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
2/25/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
2/25/2010 15:00 US House Price Index MoM n/a 0.7%
2/25/2010 21:45 NZ Trade Balance n/a 2M
2/25/2010 23:15 JPN Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PM n/a 52.5
2/25/2010 23:30 JPN Tokyo CPI YoY n/a -2.1%
2/25/2010 23:50 JPN Industrial Production YoY% n/a n/a
2/26/2010 00:01 UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey n/a -17
2/26/2010 00:30 AUS Private Sector Credit YoY% n/a 1.5%
2/26/2010 05:00 JPN Housing Starts (YoY) n/a -15.7%
2/26/2010 09:30 UK GDP (YoY) n/a -3.2%
2/26/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) n/a 0.9%
2/26/2010 13:30 CA Current Account (BOP) n/a -$13.1B
2/26/2010 13:30 US GDP Price Index 0.6% 0.6%
2/26/2010 14:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager 58.5 61.5
2/26/2010 14:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence n/a 73.7
2/26/2010 15:00 US NAPM-Milwaukee n/a 56.0
2/26/2010 21:15 US Bloomberg FCI Monthly n/a n/a

* Times listed are GMT