Archive for February 2nd, 2010

 

Forex Economic Calendar

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
2/3/2010 00:01 UK BRC January Shop Price Index n/a n/a
2/3/2010 00:30 AUS Trade Balance -2400M -1700M
2/3/2010 08:55 GE PMI Services n/a 51.2
2/3/2010 09:00 EU PMI Composite n/a 53.6
2/3/2010 09:30 UK Official Reserves (Changes) n/a -$1603M
2/3/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) n/a -4.0%
2/3/2010 12:30 US Challenger Job Cuts YoY n/a -72.9%
2/3/2010 13:15 US ADP Employment Change n/a -84K
2/3/2010 15:00 US ISM Non-Manf. Composite 51.0 50.1
2/3/2010 21:45 NZ Employment Change (YoY) -2.5% -1.8%
2/4/2010 00:30 AUS Building Approvals (YoY) 38.2% 33.3%
2/4/2010 11:00 GE Factory Orders YoY (nsa) n/a 4.5%
2/4/2010 12:00 UK BOE ANNOUNCES RATES 0.50% 0.50%
2/4/2010 12:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates 1.00% 1.00%
2/4/2010 13:30 CA Building Permits MoM n/a -4.6%
2/4/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
2/4/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
2/4/2010 15:00 CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index n/a 48.4
2/4/2010 15:00 US Factory Orders 1.5% 1.1%
2/4/2010 15:30 US ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY n/a n/a
2/4/2010 22:30 AUS AiG Perf of Construction Index n/a 49.3
2/5/2010 00:30 AUS Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement n/a n/a
2/5/2010 05:00 JPN Leading Index n/a 90.7
2/5/2010 05:30 AUS Foreign Reserves n/a 46.5B
2/5/2010 09:30 UK PPI Input NSA (YoY) n/a 6.9%
2/5/2010 11:00 GE Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) n/a -8.0%
2/5/2010 12:00 CA Net Change in Employment n/a -2.6K
2/5/2010 13:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls 63K -85K
2/5/2010 20:00 US Consumer Credit -$9.2B -$17.5B
2/7/2010 11:00 NZ QV House Prices YoY% n/a 2.8%
2/7/2010 23:50 JPN Current Account Total n/a Yen1103.0B
2/8/2010 04:30 JPN Bankruptcies (YoY) n/a -16.6%
2/8/2010 05:00 JPN Eco Watchers Survey: Current n/a 35.4
2/8/2010 09:30 UK Sentix Investor Confidence n/a -3.7
2/8/2010 13:15 CA Housing Starts 177.0K 174.5K
2/9/2010 00:01 UK RICS House Price Balance n/a 30%
2/9/2010 00:30 AUS NAB Business Conditions n/a n/a
2/9/2010 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a 63.4%
2/9/2010 07:00 GE Trade Balance n/a 17.4B
2/9/2010 09:30 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) n/a -GBP2912
2/9/2010 12:30 US NFIB Small Business Optimism n/a 88.0
2/9/2010 15:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism n/a 48.8
2/9/2010 21:45 NZ NZ Card Spending (MoM) n/a 0.7
2/9/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
2/9/2010 23:30 AUS Westpac Cons. Confidence Index n/a n/a
2/9/2010 23:50 JPN Machine Orders YoY% n/a -20.5%
2/10/2010 00:30 AUS Home Loans n/a -5.6%
2/10/2010 09:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) n/a -6.0%
2/10/2010 10:30 UK Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report n/a n/a
2/10/2010 13:30 CA Int’l Merchandise Trade n/a -0.3B
2/10/2010 13:30 US Trade Balance -$34.5B -$36.4B
2/10/2010 19:00 US Monthly Budget Statement n/a -$91.9B
2/10/2010 21:30 NZ Business NZ PMI n/a 52.9
2/10/2010 21:45 NZ Food Prices (MoM) n/a -0.3%
2/11/2010 00:00 AUS Consumer Inflation Expectation n/a 3.5%
2/11/2010 00:30 AUS Employment Change n/a 35.2K
2/11/2010 09:00 EU ECB Publishes Feb. Monthly Report n/a n/a
2/11/2010 13:30 CA New Housing Price Index MoM n/a 0.4%
2/11/2010 13:30 US Advance Retail Sales 0.4% -0.3%
2/11/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
2/11/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
2/11/2010 15:00 US Business Inventories 0.4% 0.4%
2/11/2010 21:00 NZ REINZ House Sales YoY% n/a 15.2%
2/11/2010 21:45 NZ Retail Sales (MoM) n/a 0.8%
2/12/2010 05:00 JPN Consumer Confidence n/a 37.9
2/12/2010 07:00 GE GDP nsa (YoY) n/a n/a
2/12/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone GDP s.a. (YoY) n/a n/a
2/12/2010 13:30 CA New Motor Vehicle Sales MoM n/a -6.0%
2/12/2010 14:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence n/a 74.4

* Times listed are GMT

FX Thoughts for the Day

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The Cable has fallen after rising towards 1.6069 after facing Resistance from the 8-DMA mentioned in the morning. If the 8-DMA Resistance continues to hold, we might see the pair consolidate between the 55-week MA (1.5756) and the 8-DMA (1.6074) over the next few days. The region near 1.6074-78 is…

GBPUSD: Reverses Higher, Targets The 1.6075 Level

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

As we warned on Tuesday of its hammer formation triggering a recovery higher, that has occurred and a build up on that strength is now underway suggesting we could see further gains towards its Jan 22?10 low at 1.6076. That level is a strong pivot and should reverse roles and…

European Market Update

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The greenback drifted lower throughout the European morning but is off its worst levels. The weak dollar tone was aided by continued risk appetite and a general consensus that the EU Commission would accept the Greek austerity plan to reduce its budget deficit over the coming years. In the end…

Trade Idea: EUR/JPY – Buy on break of 127.08

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Although the single currency has continued to move higher, break of 127.08 resistance is needed to confirm low has been formed at 124.45 on Monday as wave v and bring stronger rebound to 128.38, then towards 129.00/10 but reckon resistance at 129.50 would hold from here.

Trade Idea: AUD/USD – Buy at 0.8750

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Despite falling to 0.8780 yesterday as RBA kept rates unchanged, aussie rebounded after holding above this week?s low at 0.8775, suggesting further consolidation would be seen but only a sustain break of resistance at 0.8928 (yesterday?s high) would signal temporary low is formed, then stronger rebound to 0.9000 would follow…

Commodity and Yield Pair Review

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Aud/Usd The four hour trend is short. The Australian trade deficit widened during December as imports surged, following on from the Reserve Bank of Australia holding interest rates at 3.75%, going against the market expectancy of an increase to 4.0%. The initial drop in price has been contained within the…

Dollar, Equity, Commodity Review

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

TheLFB Swing Points on the major pairs are all set as resistance to any Usd long moves in trade on Wednesday, and sets up the dollar requiring a fundamental reason to get bought, against a technical near-term short environment. This week brought equity buying, gold and oil buying, and in…

USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The strong rebound from 1.0225 has retained our view that the fall from 1.0871 is the wave ii correction, however, as the greenback has retreated after rising to 1.0722 on Monday, suggesting initial consolidation would be seen but downside should be limited to 1.0415 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0225 to…

EUR/CHF Elliott Wave Analysis

Feb 02, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Despite Friday?s brief fall to 1.4635, as euro has recovered from there on profit-taking, suggesting minor consolidation would take place and retracement to 1.4828 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.5140 to 1.4635), however, reckon 1.4888 (50% Fibonacci retracement) would attract renewed selling interest and bring another decline later. Below said support…