Archive for January 10th, 2010

 

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the upside further rise could be seen to 100% projection of 1.5829 to 1.6327 from 1.5896 at 1.6304 as correction from 1.5892 continues. Nevertheless, upside should be limited below 61.8% retracement of 1.6875 to 1.5829 at 1.6475 and bring resumption of the whole fall…

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Remains Soft on Risk Appetite

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Dollar was sold off earlier today on risk appetite and remains soft in early US session. Japanese yen follows and is broadly lower against major currencies. Sterling is the bigger winner today, as a report showed that businesses are becoming optimistic about prospects of 2010. Euro is also helped by…

French Industrial & Production

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

French Industrial Production m/m came in at 1.1%, stronger than the 0.5% expected and -0.6% prior reading. Y/Y came in at -3.8%, stronger than the -5.2% expected and prior reading of -8.0%.

Manufacturing Production m/m came in at 1.6%, stronger than the 1.0% expected and -0.5% prior reading. Y/Y came in at -2.9%, stronger than the -4.4% expected and prior reading of -8.2%

Not much market effect in regard to these figures as Eur/Usd remains to trade either side of 1.4500.

SNB Encourages Weaker Franc

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Philipp Hildebrand just announced that the Swiss National Bank will continue to prevent “excessive’ Franc gains against the Euro.  In response to this; the EUR/CHF gained an initial 40 pips and pushed to a new session high of 1.4095 but has since come off and is trading below the 1.4080 handle.  In addition, the USD gained 28 pips aginst the CHF and it is still approaching the 1.0200 level.

USD Lower, Fallout from NFP, China’s Exports Surge

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD is trading sharply lower pressured by fallout from Friday’s release of weaker than expected nonfarm payrolls, the weaker than expected US employment report is expected to prevent the Fed from adopting an earlier rate hike, USD was also pressured by a surge in gold prices which gapped open…

Lack of Data from the U.S., While Canada’s Housing Market Seems to be Stabilizing!

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

U.S markets will probably remain quiet today amid the lack of economic fundamentals from the United States, where so far we have witnessed a gradual improvement in economic activity, since activity in several sectors including the manufacturing, the services, and the housing sectors started to increase slightly, and this would…

European Woes Will Protect Dollar

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Whichever way you look at it, the US dollar fundamentals remain very poor and the employment data will trigger a renewed downward shift in US interest rate expectations. Given this backdrop, there should be a clear case for a dollar bearish outlook. The situation is, however, complicated by the fact…

Forex Economic Calendar

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
1/11/2010 13:15 CA Housing Starts 160.0K 158.5K
1/11/2010 13:30 CA Building Permits MoM -3.3% 18.0%
1/11/2010 15:30 CA Business Outlook Future Sales n/a 53.00
1/11/2010 22:00 NZ NZIER Business Opinion Survey n/a 36
1/11/2010 23:50 JPN Current Account Total Yen999.6B Yen1397.6B
1/12/2010 00:01 UK RICS House Price Balance 36.5% 35.0%
1/12/2010 00:30 AUS Home Loans -0.5% -1.4%
1/12/2010 05:00 JPN Eco Watchers Survey: Current n/a 33.9
1/12/2010 09:30 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) -GBP3000 -GBP3213
1/12/2010 12:30 US NFIB Small Business Optimism n/a 88.3
1/12/2010 13:30 CA Int’l Merchandise Trade 0.6B 0.4B
1/12/2010 13:30 US Trade Balance -$34.8B -$32.9B
1/12/2010 15:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism n/a 46.8
1/12/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
1/13/2010 04:30 JPN Bankruptcies (YoY) n/a -11.4%
1/13/2010 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a -8.4%
1/13/2010 08:15 GE GDP (Annual Growth Rate) -4.8% 1.3%
1/13/2010 09:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) -6.1% -8.4%
1/13/2010 19:00 US Fed’s Beige Book n/a n/a
1/13/2010 21:45 NZ Building Permits MoM n/a 11.7%
1/13/2010 23:50 JPN Machine Orders YoY% -10.1% -21.0%
1/14/2010 00:30 AUS Employment Change 10.0K 31.2K
1/14/2010 07:00 GE CPI (YoY) 0.8% 0.8%
1/14/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Ind. Prod. wda -8.4% -11.0%
1/14/2010 12:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates 1.00% 1.00%
1/14/2010 13:30 US Advance Retail Sales 0.4% 1.3%
1/14/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
1/14/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
1/14/2010 15:00 US Business Inventories 0.0% 0.2%
1/14/2010 21:45 NZ NZ Card Spending (MoM) n/a 0.7
1/15/2010 02:00 NZ Non Resident Bond Holdings n/a 65.4%
1/15/2010 07:00 GE Wholesale Price Index (YoY) 0.5% -3.2%
1/15/2010 09:00 EU EU 25 New Car Registrations n/a 26.9%
1/15/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Trade Balance 7.0B 8.8B
1/15/2010 13:30 CA New Motor Vehicle Sales MoM -7.0% 3.5%
1/15/2010 13:30 US Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2.8% 1.8%
1/15/2010 13:30 US Empire Manufacturing 10.00 2.55
1/15/2010 14:15 US Industrial Production 0.6% 0.8%
1/15/2010 14:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence 73.0 72.5
1/18/2010 00:01 UK Rightmove House Prices (YoY) n/a 1.7%
1/18/2010 04:30 JPN Industrial Production YoY% n/a -3.9%
1/18/2010 13:30 CA Int’l Securities Transactions n/a 5.814B
1/19/2010 05:00 JPN Consumer Confidence n/a 39.9
1/19/2010 09:30 UK CPI (YoY) n/a 1.9%
1/19/2010 10:00 GE ZEW Surveys n/a n/a
1/19/2010 10:00 EU Construction Output WDA YoY n/a -7.7%
1/19/2010 13:30 CA Leading Indicators MoM n/a 1.3%
1/19/2010 14:00 CA Bank of Canada Rate 0.25% 0.25%
1/19/2010 14:00 US Total Net TIC Flows n/a -$13.9B
1/19/2010 18:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index 17 16
1/19/2010 21:45 NZ Consumer Prices (YoY) n/a 1.7%
1/19/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
1/19/2010 23:30 AUS Westpac Consumer Confidence n/a -3.8%
1/19/2010 23:50 JPN Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) n/a 0.5%
1/20/2010 00:00 AUS DEWR Skilled Vacancies MoM n/a 1.9%
1/20/2010 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a n/a
1/20/2010 07:00 JPN Convenience Store Sales YoY n/a -6.3%
1/20/2010 07:00 GE Producer Prices (YoY) n/a -5.9%
1/20/2010 09:30 UK Bank of England Minutes n/a n/a
1/20/2010 12:00 CA CPI YoY n/a 1.0%
1/20/2010 13:30 CA Manufacturing Sales MoM n/a 2.0%
1/20/2010 13:30 US PPI (YoY) n/a 2.4%
1/20/2010 21:45 NZ Retail Sales (MoM) n/a 0.3%
1/21/2010 00:30 AUS New Motor Vehicle Sales YoY n/a 15.8%
1/21/2010 05:00 JPN Coincident Index CI n/a 95.9
1/21/2010 09:00 EU ECB Publishes Jan. Monthly Report n/a n/a
1/21/2010 09:30 UK M4 Money Supply (YoY) n/a 9.3%
1/21/2010 11:00 UK U.K. CBI January Quarterly Industrial Trends n/a n/a
1/21/2010 13:30 CA Wholesale Sales MoM n/a 0.3%
1/21/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
1/21/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
1/21/2010 14:00 US RPX Composite 28dy YoY n/a -7.46%
1/21/2010 15:00 US Philadelphia Fed. 17.7 20.4
1/22/2010 00:30 AUS Export Price Index (QoQ) n/a -9.6%
1/22/2010 04:30 JPN All Industry Activity Index (MoM) n/a 1.2%
1/22/2010 09:30 UK Retail Sales (YoY) n/a 3.1%
1/22/2010 10:00 EU Industrial New Orders SA (YoY) n/a -14.5%
1/22/2010 13:30 CA Retail Sales MoM n/a 0.8%

* Times listed are GMT

FX Thoughts for the Day

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Cable has risen during the day and is testing the Resistance region of 1.6183-6210 mentioned in the morning. Once it is able to break past this Resistance zone, there are other numerous Resistances overhead between 1.62-1.63. Overall Cable has been bearish over the last several weeks. A strong break past…

Markets Shrug Off Weak NFP & Continues To Buy Risk

Jan 10, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Markets seem to have shrugged off the disappointing US non-farm payrolls data, with equity and commodity prices rallying as yields slipped. Friday closed with the S&P up 0.3% and yield curve steepened further, with US 2yrs rates dropping 5bp. Comments from Fed’s Bullard today gave risky assets a boost, as…