Archive for January 7th, 2010

 

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The sharp fall from 93.74 indicates that an intraday top is in place in USD/JPY and turns bias neutral. Note that a break of 90.08 support will argue that rise from 87.36 has completed on bearish divergence condition in 4 hours MACD already. Further break of 91.24 support will confirm…

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

GBP/USD’s strong rebound and break of 1.6057 resistance suggests that pullback from 1.6237 has completed at 1.5896 already. Whole rebound from 1.5829 is possibly resuming and intraday bias is flipped back to the upside for 100% projection of 1.5829 to 1.6327 from 1.5896 at 1.6304. But upside should be limited…

Mid-Day Report: Dollar Sold off after NFP Disappointment

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Dollar spikes lower after Non-Farm Payrolls shocked the market by showing -85k contraction in December. Nevertheless, November’s data was revised up to 4k, which was the first expansion since Jan 2008. Unemployment rate was unchanged at 10.0%. The Japanese yen is mildly higher on risk aversion. Also released in US…

EURUSD: Rejects The 1.4446 Level, Set To Target The 1.4254/16 levels

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Another failed attempt at the 1.4446 level, its Aug 05?09 high saw the pair turning down sharply lower Thursday to close at 1.4298. With this price development, risk continues to point lower putting further downside pressure on its Dec 22?09 low at 1.4254 at first and then its Dec 22?09…

GBPUSD: Broader Outlook Remains Lower

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Despite the pair?s current strength in early trading today as long as it holds below the 1.6234/39 levels we see risk towards its key support located at the 1.5830 level, its Dec 30?09. Below the latter level will set the stage for the resumption of its declines activated off the…

Enduring Weakening of the U.S Key-Sector; the "Labor Market"

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Today’s world’s largest economy Jobs Report will be released, which was patiently awaited for and highly predicted to display once again to which extent the country’s labor market remains on being deteriorated despite extreme slender signs of improvement, knowing that this is the major obstacle postponing a full and strong…

Forex Economic Calendar

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
1/8/2010 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI 91.2 89.4
1/8/2010 07:00 GE Trade Balance 12.5B 13.6B
1/8/2010 09:30 UK PPI Output Core NSA 1.9% 2.0%
1/8/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 9.9% 9.8%
1/8/2010 11:00 GE Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) -8.0% -12.4%
1/8/2010 12:00 CA Net Change in Employment 20.0K 79.1K
1/8/2010 13:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls -10K -11K
1/8/2010 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories -0.3% 0.3%
1/8/2010 20:00 US Consumer Credit -$5.0B -$3.5B
1/10/2010 23:30 AUS TD Securities Inflation YoY% n/a 2.1%
1/11/2010 13:15 CA Housing Starts n/a 158.5K
1/11/2010 13:30 CA Building Permits MoM n/a 18.0%
1/11/2010 22:00 NZ NZIER Business Opinion Survey n/a 36
1/11/2010 23:50 JPN Current Account Total n/a Yen1397.6B
1/12/2010 00:01 UK RICS House Price Balance n/a 35.0%
1/12/2010 00:30 AUS Home Loans n/a -1.4%
1/12/2010 09:30 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) n/a -GBP3213
1/12/2010 12:30 US NFIB Small Business Optimism n/a 88.3
1/12/2010 13:30 CA Int’l Merchandise Trade n/a 0.4B
1/12/2010 13:30 US Trade Balance -$34.8B -$32.9B
1/12/2010 15:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism n/a 46.8
1/12/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
1/13/2010 04:30 JPN Bankruptcies (YoY) n/a -11.4%
1/13/2010 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a -8.4%
1/13/2010 08:15 GE GDP (Annual Growth Rate) n/a n/a
1/13/2010 09:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) n/a -8.4%
1/13/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Ind. Prod. wda (YoY) n/a -11.1%
1/13/2010 19:00 US Fed’s Beige Book n/a n/a
1/13/2010 21:45 NZ Building Permits MoM n/a 11.7%
1/13/2010 23:50 JPN Machine Orders YoY% n/a -21.0%
1/14/2010 00:30 AUS Employment Change n/a 31.2K
1/14/2010 07:00 GE CPI (YoY) n/a 0.8%
1/14/2010 12:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates n/a 1.00%
1/14/2010 13:30 US Advance Retail Sales 0.4% 1.3%
1/14/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
1/14/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
1/14/2010 15:00 US Business Inventories 0.0% 0.2%
1/14/2010 21:45 NZ NZ Card Spending (MoM) n/a 0.7
1/15/2010 02:00 NZ Non Resident Bond Holdings n/a 65.4%
1/15/2010 09:00 EU EU 25 New Car Registrations n/a 26.9%
1/15/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Trade Balance n/a 8.8B
1/15/2010 13:30 CA New Motor Vehicle Sales MoM n/a 3.5%
1/15/2010 13:30 US Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2.8% 1.8%
1/15/2010 13:30 US Empire Manufacturing 10.00 2.55
1/15/2010 14:15 US Industrial Production 0.6% 0.8%
1/15/2010 14:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence 73.0 72.5

* Times listed are GMT

FX Thoughts for the Day

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The Cable has risen during the day and recorded a high of 1.6036. Further upside is likely to be contained near the Max High for the day which is at 1.6082. A rise therafter, though not likely, may meet the channel Resistance on the daily candles near 1.6180. The pair…

US Payrolls to Disappoint?

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Immediate dollar direction will inevitably be determined by the payroll data. Forecasts are dangerous at best, but the net risk is for some disappointment on the headline figure, especially given market expectations of a firm figure which would hurt the dollar. The dollar will continue to gain important support from…

London Session Recap

Jan 07, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Japanese Finance Minister Kan may have pared back his remarks regarding the yen but not before his stall had been clearly laid out. It is not uncommon for a newly posted official to under-estimate the power of his remarks on the fx market. Yesterday?s comment from Kan suggesting he favoured…