Archive for January 4th, 2010

 

Dollar Bulls Continue to Force Yield Issue

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The story remains the same everywhere you look around the world. The manufacturing baseline expansion continues to underpin expectations for a decent first half of the year. Money managers see little reason not to add equities, commodities and higher yielding currencies to their portfolios as investing resources are shifted to…

USD Lower, JPY Supported by Exporter Repatriation Flows

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD is trading lower as commodity prices and global equity markets continue to rise, Asian equity markets touch a 17 month high, platinum trades at its highest level since August of 2008, EUR/GBP cross trades higher with GBP pressured by concern about the UK deficit, the Financial Times reports…

Pending Home Sales Have Most Probably Plummeted for November

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The world’s largest economy housing sector along with other economical branches showed more than once previous signs of enhancement throughout 2009 and is forecasted to enhance further this year, however the pending sales of the country’s existing homes has most probably dropped in November as Americans waited actually for a…

Sterling retraces half of move down from yesterday’s high

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Gbp/Usd is currently trading just beneath the 50% Fibo retracement of the move down from 1.6240 to 1.6064. The next level of resistance should be 1.6173 which is the 61.8% Fibo. If these levels hold a move back down below 1.6100 is likely. a break above should bring us back to 1.6240.

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FX Thoughts for the Day

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Cable has fallen sharply during the day. It is likely to fall further towards 1.5850 over the next couple of days. The 200-DMA having been breached, the pair may come down after some sideways movement towards the 55-week MA (1.5659). The sideways range that we are looking at is a…

Key News & Charts – US/UK Yield Curve, Copper Prices, Chinese Yuan

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Gold may attract far more punters and column inches but it was the red metal, not the yellow one, that truly shone in 2009. Copper prices surged 140 per cent in 2009 and are now up over 160 per cent since their December 2008 low, compared with a roughly 25…

Currency Technical Report

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Euro seems to have formed a base, after 1.4200 lows, after the sharp moves in the end of 2009. The market?s sentiment is not clear, even if there is some risk appetite, as we can see from the rise in commodities and stock markets.

Mixed Forex Trade

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The overnight trading hours provided mixed trading patterns in the currency market, as the major pairs tried to push the dollar index lower with only limited success. The exceptions were the pound and the yen, that went in the opposite direction in a trading session that looked lost. The pound…

Forex Economic Calendar

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
1/5/2010 00:00 AUS HIA New Home Sales n/a -6.0%
1/5/2010 05:00 JPN Vehicle Sales (YoY) n/a 36.0%
1/5/2010 08:55 GE Unemployment Change (000′s) 5K -7K
1/5/2010 09:30 UK PMI Construction 47.5 47.0
1/5/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone CPI Estimate (YoY) 0.9% 0.6%
1/5/2010 13:30 CA Industrial Product Price MoM 0.5% -0.3%
1/5/2010 15:00 US Factory Orders 0.5% 0.6%
1/5/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
1/6/2010 00:01 UK BRC December Shop Price Index n/a n/a
1/6/2010 01:30 AUS Building Approvals (YoY) n/a 11.7%
1/6/2010 08:55 GE PMI Services 53.1 53.1
1/6/2010 09:00 EU PMI Services 53.7 53.0
1/6/2010 09:30 UK Official Reserves (Changes) n/a $1947M
1/6/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone PPI (YoY) -4.6% -6.7%
1/6/2010 12:30 US Challenger Job Cuts YoY n/a -72.3%
1/6/2010 13:15 US ADP Employment Change -75K -169K
1/6/2010 15:00 US ISM Non-Manf. Composite 50.3 48.7
1/6/2010 21:45 NZ Trade Balance n/a -487M
1/7/2010 00:30 AUS Retail Sales s.a. (MoM) n/a n/a
1/7/2010 01:30 AUS Trade Balance n/a -2379M
1/7/2010 05:39 AUS Foreign Reserves n/a 45.9B
1/7/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) -1.8% -1.9%
1/7/2010 11:00 GE Factory Orders YoY (nsa) -0.4% -8.5%
1/7/2010 12:00 UK BOE ANNOUNCES RATES 0.50% 0.50%
1/7/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims 445K 432K
1/7/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims 5040K 4981K
1/7/2010 15:00 CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index 51.0 55.9
1/8/2010 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI 91.2 89.4
1/8/2010 07:00 GE Trade Balance 12.5B 13.6B
1/8/2010 09:30 UK PPI Output Core NSA 1.9% 2.0%
1/8/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 9.9% 9.8%
1/8/2010 11:00 GE Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) -8.0% -12.4%
1/8/2010 12:00 CA Net Change in Employment 20.0K 79.1K
1/8/2010 13:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls -10K -11K
1/8/2010 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories -0.3% 0.3%
1/8/2010 20:00 US Consumer Credit -$5.0B -$3.5B
1/10/2010 23:30 AUS TD Securities Inflation YoY% n/a 2.1%
1/11/2010 13:15 CA Housing Starts n/a 158.5K
1/11/2010 13:30 CA Building Permits MoM n/a 18.0%
1/11/2010 22:00 NZ NZIER Business Opinion Survey n/a 36
1/11/2010 23:50 JPN Current Account Total n/a Yen1397.6B
1/12/2010 00:01 UK RICS House Price Balance n/a 35.0%
1/12/2010 00:30 AUS Home Loans n/a -1.4%
1/12/2010 09:30 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) n/a -GBP3213
1/12/2010 12:30 US NFIB Small Business Optimism n/a 88.3
1/12/2010 13:30 CA Int’l Merchandise Trade n/a 0.4B
1/12/2010 13:30 US Trade Balance -$34.8B -$32.9B
1/12/2010 15:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism n/a 46.8
1/12/2010 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
1/13/2010 04:30 JPN Bankruptcies (YoY) n/a -11.4%
1/13/2010 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a -8.4%
1/13/2010 08:15 GE GDP (Annual Growth Rate) n/a n/a
1/13/2010 09:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) n/a -8.4%
1/13/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Ind. Prod. wda (YoY) n/a -11.1%
1/13/2010 19:00 US Fed’s Beige Book n/a n/a
1/13/2010 21:45 NZ Building Permits MoM n/a 11.7%
1/13/2010 23:50 JPN Machine Orders YoY% n/a -21.0%
1/14/2010 00:30 AUS Employment Change n/a 31.2K
1/14/2010 07:00 GE CPI (YoY) n/a 0.8%
1/14/2010 12:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates n/a 1.00%
1/14/2010 13:30 US Advance Retail Sales 0.4% 1.3%
1/14/2010 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
1/14/2010 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
1/14/2010 15:00 US Business Inventories 0.0% 0.2%
1/14/2010 21:45 NZ NZ Card Spending (MoM) n/a 0.7
1/15/2010 02:00 NZ Non Resident Bond Holdings n/a 65.4%
1/15/2010 09:00 EU EU 25 New Car Registrations n/a 26.9%
1/15/2010 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Trade Balance n/a 8.8B
1/15/2010 13:30 CA New Motor Vehicle Sales MoM n/a 3.5%
1/15/2010 13:30 US Consumer Price Index (YoY) 2.8% 1.8%
1/15/2010 13:30 US Empire Manufacturing 10.00 2.55
1/15/2010 14:15 US Industrial Production 0.6% 0.8%
1/15/2010 14:55 US U. of Michigan Confidence 73.0 72.5

* Times listed are GMT

London Session Recap

Jan 04, 2010 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Overnight JPY gains stalled in early European hours. Doubts as to whether the US economy will be able to garner enough momentum this year to prompt the Fed to hike rates in Q3, if at all in 2010, yesterday undermined the recent USD?s recovery. This caused the market to question…