Archive for December 13th, 2009

 

Gbp/Usd above 100 hour M/A, fails to break below

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Gbp/Usd broke above the 100 hour M/A of 1.6279 earlier in the session on the news of Dubai Worlds partial debt repayment. The pair has since begun a move to the downside, now testing that same 100 hour M/A which is acting as support. The 61.8% Fibo of the move down from Friday is also in play at 1.6280. A break below could see the pair give back considerable gains, possibly down to the 1.6220-25 level. Another failed break should bring pair back up to 1.6320.

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Majors Flat Around Important Price Areas

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

After an active Asian session the currency market moved back to the break-even area during early European trading hours, and as the U.S. market approached the major pairs started retracing the ground gained earlier in the session. Most pairs are lacking a clear direction or trend.

USD Lower, Abu Dhabi to Bail out Dubai

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD is trading lower as equity markets rally in reaction to news that Abu Dhabi will pledge 10bln for Dubai rescue and Citicorp plans to repay its bailout funds, the Abu Dhabi pledge to bail out Dubai will reduce concern about European bank exposure to Dubai debt, Japan’s Tankan…

Candlesticks and Ichimoku Trade Ideas Performance Update

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The greenback extended early gain inspired by the stronger-than-expected U.S. job reports, however, cross-buying in yen due to risk aversion dragged down the USD/JPY and despite rising to 90.78, the retreat from there was deeper than our anticipation, our long position entered at 88.90 was stopped out at 88.45 and…

Calm Day for U.S. Markets amid Lack of Fundamentals and Earnings

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The U.S. economy continues to show more signs of recovery from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, which sent the economy into the worst recession since WWII; however, conditions started to improve noticeably over the past period, as the government continued to support economic activity, which was reflected…

EURJPY: Loses Upside Momentum, Weakens

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The cross has triggered downside weakness in early trading today after losing momentum AT 134.53 and reversing almost all of its previous week gains on Friday. The current price action has turned downside risk towards the 128.77 level, its Dec 09?09 low with a turn below there targeting the 126.83…

USDCAD: Sideways Trading With Overall Downside Bias

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

As highlighted in our weekly analysis, USDCAD remains vulnerable to the downside but now trades in a range between the 1.0745 and 1.0401 levels. Although seen building up strength in early trading today, while that occurs below the 1.0867 level, its Nov 01?09 high and its Nov 27?09 high at…

Japan: Tankan Suggests Substantial Slowdown

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Business sentiment for large enterprises generally came out better than expected for both manufacturers and non-manufactures. As seen in the chart current conditions continued to improve and are expected to improve further in Q1 10, although the pace of the improvement is expected to slow. However, as seen in the…

Forex Economic Calendar

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
12/14/2009 00:01 UK Rightmove House Prices (YoY) n/a 1.6%
12/14/2009 04:00 JPN Tokyo Condominium Sales (YoY) n/a -20.0%
12/14/2009 04:30 JPN Industrial Production YoY% n/a -15.1%
12/14/2009 10:00 EU Eurozone Employment (YoY) n/a -1.8%
12/14/2009 13:30 CA Capacity Utilization Rate 66.9% 67.4%
12/15/2009 00:01 UK RICS House Price Balance 39.0% 34.0%
12/15/2009 00:30 AUS Reserve Bank’s Board December Minutes n/a n/a
12/15/2009 02:00 NZ Non Resident Bond Holdings n/a 71.2%
12/15/2009 07:00 EU EU 25 New Car Registrations n/a 11.6%
12/15/2009 09:30 UK RPI (YoY) 0.3% -0.8%
12/15/2009 10:00 GE Zew Surveys n/a n/a
12/15/2009 13:30 CA Leading Indicators MoM 0.8% 0.7%
12/15/2009 13:30 US PPI (YoY) 1.5% -1.9%
12/15/2009 14:00 US Total Net TIC Flows n/a $133.5B
12/15/2009 14:15 US Industrial Production 0.4% 0.1%
12/15/2009 18:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index 18 17
12/15/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
12/15/2009 23:30 AUS Westpac Leading Index (MoM) n/a 0.4%
12/15/2009 23:50 JPN Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) 0.5% -0.5%
12/16/2009 00:00 AUS DEWR Skilled Vacancies MoM n/a 2.4%
12/16/2009 00:30 AUS GDP (YoY) 0.7% 0.6%
12/16/2009 01:15 AUS RBA Deputy Bank Governor Battellino speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
12/16/2009 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a n/a
12/16/2009 08:30 GE PMI Services 51.9 51.4
12/16/2009 09:00 EU PMI Services 53.2 53.0
12/16/2009 09:30 UK ILO Unemployment Rate (3mths) 7.9% 7.8%
12/16/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone CPI-Core (YoY) 1.2% 1.2%
12/16/2009 12:00 US Bloomberg Global Confidence n/a 60.30
12/16/2009 13:30 CA Manufacturing Sales MoM 0.9% 1.4%
12/16/2009 13:30 US Current Account Balance -$105.0B -$98.8B
12/16/2009 13:30 US CPI (YoY) 1.8% -0.2%
12/16/2009 19:15 US FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
12/17/2009 00:00 AUS HIA New Home Sales (MoM) n/a -6.0%
12/17/2009 00:00 JPN BOJ Target Rate n/a 0.10%
12/17/2009 00:30 AUS RBA Foreign Exchange Transactn n/a 307M
12/17/2009 02:00 NZ NBNZ Business Confidence n/a 43.4
12/17/2009 04:00 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting n/a n/a
12/17/2009 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI n/a n/a
12/17/2009 09:30 UK Retail Sales (YoY) 3.7% 3.4%
12/17/2009 10:00 EU Construction Output WDA YoY n/a -8.0%
12/17/2009 11:00 UK U.K. CBI December Distributive Trades n/a n/a
12/17/2009 12:00 CA CPI YoY 0.8% 0.1%
12/17/2009 13:30 CA Int’l Securities Transactions 5.000B 13.590B
12/17/2009 13:30 US Intitial Jobless Claims 465K 474K
12/17/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims 5170K 5157K
12/17/2009 15:00 US Leading Indicators 0.7% 0.3%
12/17/2009 15:00 US Philadelphia Fed. 15.8 16.7
12/18/2009 07:00 GE Producer Prices (YoY) -5.9% -7.6%
12/18/2009 09:00 GE IFO Surveys n/a 98.9
12/18/2009 09:00 EU ECB Euro-Zone Current Account n/a -5.4B
12/18/2009 09:30 UK M4 Money Supply (YoY) 10.0% 10.8%
12/18/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Trade Balance 5.8B 3.7B
12/18/2009 13:30 CA Wholesale Sales MoM 0.5% 0.2%
12/20/2009 21:45 NZ Visitor Arrivals n/a -0.7%
12/20/2009 23:50 JPN Merchnds Trade Exports YoY n/a -23.2
12/21/2009 00:30 AUS New Motor Vehicle Sales YoY n/a 3.3%
12/21/2009 02:00 NZ Credit Card Spending (YoY) n/a -0.4%
12/21/2009 04:30 JPN All Industry Activity Index (MoM) n/a -0.6%
12/21/2009 05:00 JPN BOJ Monthly Report n/a n/a
12/21/2009 13:30 CA Retail Sales MoM n/a 1.0%
12/21/2009 13:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index n/a -1.08
12/21/2009 21:45 NZ Current Account Balance n/a 0.124B
12/21/2009 23:00 AUS Conference Board Leading Index n/a 0.3%
12/22/2009 01:00 NZ Westpac NZ Consumer Confidence n/a 120.3
12/22/2009 07:00 GE GfK Consumer Confidence Survey n/a n/a
12/22/2009 09:30 UK GDP (YoY) n/a -5.1%
12/22/2009 09:30 UK Current Account (BP) n/a -11.4B
12/22/2009 13:30 US GDP Price Index 0.5% 0.5%
12/22/2009 15:00 US Richmond Fed Manufact. Index n/a 1
12/22/2009 21:45 NZ GDP YoY n/a -2.1%
12/22/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
12/23/2009 09:30 UK Bank of England Minutes n/a n/a
12/23/2009 10:00 EU Industrial New Orders SA (YoY) n/a -16.5%
12/23/2009 13:30 CA GDP MoM n/a 0.4%
12/23/2009 13:30 US PCE Core (YoY) 1.5% 1.4%
12/23/2009 14:00 US RPX Composite 28dy YoY n/a -10.02%
12/23/2009 15:00 US U. of Michigan Confidence n/a 73.4
12/23/2009 23:50 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes for May n/a n/a
12/24/2009 13:30 US Durable Goods Orders 0.2% -0.6%
12/24/2009 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
12/24/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
12/24/2009 23:30 JPN Natl CPI YoY n/a -2.5%
12/24/2009 23:50 JPN Corp Service Price (YoY) n/a -2.2%
12/25/2009 04:00 JPN Vehicle Production (YoY) n/a -19.1%
12/25/2009 05:00 JPN Construction Orders (YoY) n/a -40.1%

* Times listed are GMT

FX Thoughts for the Day

Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

After trading in a very narrow range of 0.9100-25 most part of the day, Aussie has broken and trading just below 0.9100. As no significant move on either side was not seen during the day, oru view remains the same on the pair. The 13-Week-MA (currently at 0.9062) is the…