Archive for December 13th, 2009
Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities
Gbp/Usd broke above the 100 hour M/A of 1.6279 earlier in the session on the news of Dubai Worlds partial debt repayment. The pair has since begun a move to the downside, now testing that same 100 hour M/A which is acting as support. The 61.8% Fibo of the move down from Friday is also in play at 1.6280. A break below could see the pair give back considerable gains, possibly down to the 1.6220-25 level. Another failed break should bring pair back up to 1.6320.

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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
After an active Asian session the currency market moved back to the break-even area during early European trading hours, and as the U.S. market approached the major pairs started retracing the ground gained earlier in the session. Most pairs are lacking a clear direction or trend.
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The USD is trading lower as equity markets rally in reaction to news that Abu Dhabi will pledge 10bln for Dubai rescue and Citicorp plans to repay its bailout funds, the Abu Dhabi pledge to bail out Dubai will reduce concern about European bank exposure to Dubai debt, Japan’s Tankan…
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The greenback extended early gain inspired by the stronger-than-expected U.S. job reports, however, cross-buying in yen due to risk aversion dragged down the USD/JPY and despite rising to 90.78, the retreat from there was deeper than our anticipation, our long position entered at 88.90 was stopped out at 88.45 and…
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The U.S. economy continues to show more signs of recovery from the worst financial crisis since the Great Depression, which sent the economy into the worst recession since WWII; however, conditions started to improve noticeably over the past period, as the government continued to support economic activity, which was reflected…
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
The cross has triggered downside weakness in early trading today after losing momentum AT 134.53 and reversing almost all of its previous week gains on Friday. The current price action has turned downside risk towards the 128.77 level, its Dec 09?09 low with a turn below there targeting the 126.83…
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
As highlighted in our weekly analysis, USDCAD remains vulnerable to the downside but now trades in a range between the 1.0745 and 1.0401 levels. Although seen building up strength in early trading today, while that occurs below the 1.0867 level, its Nov 01?09 high and its Nov 27?09 high at…
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
Business sentiment for large enterprises generally came out better than expected for both manufacturers and non-manufactures. As seen in the chart current conditions continued to improve and are expected to improve further in Q1 10, although the pace of the improvement is expected to slow. However, as seen in the…
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities
| Date |
Time* |
Source |
Description |
Forecast |
Previous |
| 12/14/2009 |
00:01 |
UK |
Rightmove House Prices (YoY) |
n/a |
1.6% |
| 12/14/2009 |
04:00 |
JPN |
Tokyo Condominium Sales (YoY) |
n/a |
-20.0% |
| 12/14/2009 |
04:30 |
JPN |
Industrial Production YoY% |
n/a |
-15.1% |
| 12/14/2009 |
10:00 |
EU |
Eurozone Employment (YoY) |
n/a |
-1.8% |
| 12/14/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
Capacity Utilization Rate |
66.9% |
67.4% |
| 12/15/2009 |
00:01 |
UK |
RICS House Price Balance |
39.0% |
34.0% |
| 12/15/2009 |
00:30 |
AUS |
Reserve Bank’s Board December Minutes |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/15/2009 |
02:00 |
NZ |
Non Resident Bond Holdings |
n/a |
71.2% |
| 12/15/2009 |
07:00 |
EU |
EU 25 New Car Registrations |
n/a |
11.6% |
| 12/15/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
RPI (YoY) |
0.3% |
-0.8% |
| 12/15/2009 |
10:00 |
GE |
Zew Surveys |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/15/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
Leading Indicators MoM |
0.8% |
0.7% |
| 12/15/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
PPI (YoY) |
1.5% |
-1.9% |
| 12/15/2009 |
14:00 |
US |
Total Net TIC Flows |
n/a |
$133.5B |
| 12/15/2009 |
14:15 |
US |
Industrial Production |
0.4% |
0.1% |
| 12/15/2009 |
18:00 |
US |
NAHB Housing Market Index |
18 |
17 |
| 12/15/2009 |
22:00 |
US |
ABC Consumer Confidence |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/15/2009 |
23:30 |
AUS |
Westpac Leading Index (MoM) |
n/a |
0.4% |
| 12/15/2009 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) |
0.5% |
-0.5% |
| 12/16/2009 |
00:00 |
AUS |
DEWR Skilled Vacancies MoM |
n/a |
2.4% |
| 12/16/2009 |
00:30 |
AUS |
GDP (YoY) |
0.7% |
0.6% |
| 12/16/2009 |
01:15 |
AUS |
RBA Deputy Bank Governor Battellino speaks in Sydney |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/16/2009 |
06:00 |
JPN |
Machine Tool Orders (YoY) |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/16/2009 |
08:30 |
GE |
PMI Services |
51.9 |
51.4 |
| 12/16/2009 |
09:00 |
EU |
PMI Services |
53.2 |
53.0 |
| 12/16/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
ILO Unemployment Rate (3mths) |
7.9% |
7.8% |
| 12/16/2009 |
10:00 |
EU |
Euro-Zone CPI-Core (YoY) |
1.2% |
1.2% |
| 12/16/2009 |
12:00 |
US |
Bloomberg Global Confidence |
n/a |
60.30 |
| 12/16/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
Manufacturing Sales MoM |
0.9% |
1.4% |
| 12/16/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Current Account Balance |
-$105.0B |
-$98.8B |
| 12/16/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
CPI (YoY) |
1.8% |
-0.2% |
| 12/16/2009 |
19:15 |
US |
FOMC Rate Decision |
0.25% |
0.25% |
| 12/17/2009 |
00:00 |
AUS |
HIA New Home Sales (MoM) |
n/a |
-6.0% |
| 12/17/2009 |
00:00 |
JPN |
BOJ Target Rate |
n/a |
0.10% |
| 12/17/2009 |
00:30 |
AUS |
RBA Foreign Exchange Transactn |
n/a |
307M |
| 12/17/2009 |
02:00 |
NZ |
NBNZ Business Confidence |
n/a |
43.4 |
| 12/17/2009 |
04:00 |
JPN |
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/17/2009 |
05:00 |
JPN |
Leading Index CI |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/17/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
Retail Sales (YoY) |
3.7% |
3.4% |
| 12/17/2009 |
10:00 |
EU |
Construction Output WDA YoY |
n/a |
-8.0% |
| 12/17/2009 |
11:00 |
UK |
U.K. CBI December Distributive Trades |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/17/2009 |
12:00 |
CA |
CPI YoY |
0.8% |
0.1% |
| 12/17/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
Int’l Securities Transactions |
5.000B |
13.590B |
| 12/17/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Intitial Jobless Claims |
465K |
474K |
| 12/17/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Continuing Claims |
5170K |
5157K |
| 12/17/2009 |
15:00 |
US |
Leading Indicators |
0.7% |
0.3% |
| 12/17/2009 |
15:00 |
US |
Philadelphia Fed. |
15.8 |
16.7 |
| 12/18/2009 |
07:00 |
GE |
Producer Prices (YoY) |
-5.9% |
-7.6% |
| 12/18/2009 |
09:00 |
GE |
IFO Surveys |
n/a |
98.9 |
| 12/18/2009 |
09:00 |
EU |
ECB Euro-Zone Current Account |
n/a |
-5.4B |
| 12/18/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
M4 Money Supply (YoY) |
10.0% |
10.8% |
| 12/18/2009 |
10:00 |
EU |
Euro-Zone Trade Balance |
5.8B |
3.7B |
| 12/18/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
Wholesale Sales MoM |
0.5% |
0.2% |
| 12/20/2009 |
21:45 |
NZ |
Visitor Arrivals |
n/a |
-0.7% |
| 12/20/2009 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Merchnds Trade Exports YoY |
n/a |
-23.2 |
| 12/21/2009 |
00:30 |
AUS |
New Motor Vehicle Sales YoY |
n/a |
3.3% |
| 12/21/2009 |
02:00 |
NZ |
Credit Card Spending (YoY) |
n/a |
-0.4% |
| 12/21/2009 |
04:30 |
JPN |
All Industry Activity Index (MoM) |
n/a |
-0.6% |
| 12/21/2009 |
05:00 |
JPN |
BOJ Monthly Report |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/21/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
Retail Sales MoM |
n/a |
1.0% |
| 12/21/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index |
n/a |
-1.08 |
| 12/21/2009 |
21:45 |
NZ |
Current Account Balance |
n/a |
0.124B |
| 12/21/2009 |
23:00 |
AUS |
Conference Board Leading Index |
n/a |
0.3% |
| 12/22/2009 |
01:00 |
NZ |
Westpac NZ Consumer Confidence |
n/a |
120.3 |
| 12/22/2009 |
07:00 |
GE |
GfK Consumer Confidence Survey |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/22/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
GDP (YoY) |
n/a |
-5.1% |
| 12/22/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
Current Account (BP) |
n/a |
-11.4B |
| 12/22/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
GDP Price Index |
0.5% |
0.5% |
| 12/22/2009 |
15:00 |
US |
Richmond Fed Manufact. Index |
n/a |
1 |
| 12/22/2009 |
21:45 |
NZ |
GDP YoY |
n/a |
-2.1% |
| 12/22/2009 |
22:00 |
US |
ABC Consumer Confidence |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/23/2009 |
09:30 |
UK |
Bank of England Minutes |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/23/2009 |
10:00 |
EU |
Industrial New Orders SA (YoY) |
n/a |
-16.5% |
| 12/23/2009 |
13:30 |
CA |
GDP MoM |
n/a |
0.4% |
| 12/23/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
PCE Core (YoY) |
1.5% |
1.4% |
| 12/23/2009 |
14:00 |
US |
RPX Composite 28dy YoY |
n/a |
-10.02% |
| 12/23/2009 |
15:00 |
US |
U. of Michigan Confidence |
n/a |
73.4 |
| 12/23/2009 |
23:50 |
JPN |
BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes for May |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/24/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Durable Goods Orders |
0.2% |
-0.6% |
| 12/24/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Initial Jobless Claims |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/24/2009 |
13:30 |
US |
Continuing Claims |
n/a |
n/a |
| 12/24/2009 |
23:30 |
JPN |
Natl CPI YoY |
n/a |
-2.5% |
| 12/24/2009 |
23:50 |
JPN |
Corp Service Price (YoY) |
n/a |
-2.2% |
| 12/25/2009 |
04:00 |
JPN |
Vehicle Production (YoY) |
n/a |
-19.1% |
| 12/25/2009 |
05:00 |
JPN |
Construction Orders (YoY) |
n/a |
-40.1% |
* Times listed are GMT
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Dec 13, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities
After trading in a very narrow range of 0.9100-25 most part of the day, Aussie has broken and trading just below 0.9100. As no significant move on either side was not seen during the day, oru view remains the same on the pair. The 13-Week-MA (currently at 0.9062) is the…
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