Archive for November 15th, 2009

 

Japan: From Underperformer to Outperformer

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

GDP growth was much stronger than expected and Japan, for the second quarter in a row, was the strongest performing G7 economy. Significantly, private domestic demand improved substantially due to both the impact from fiscal stimulus programme and the sharp recovery in exports starting to spill over into domestic demand.

USD Lower, Japan’s Q3 GDP Rises Most in Two Years

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD starts the week lower as equity markets rally, crude prices trade higher and gold trades at new record high, strong GDP data from Japan and statements from China downplaying the possibility of Yuan revaluation sparked selling of the USD, ECB’s Weber calls for the start of plans to…

FX Thoughts for the Day

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

After falling and recording a low of 1.0065, Swiss has risen slightly and is now trading just below 1.0100. Our view continue remain the same on the pair. Any sharp upmove is not looking likely now. However, a strong break above 1.0100 might see a rise towards 1.0130-50 in the…

Who is the Weakest of the Weak?

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

When you look at US fundamentals it is very easy to be bearish on the dollar . That is until you look at the alternatives. All the major currencies have very serious vulnerabilities with government debt a key issue for Japan. Banking weakness and structural problems are a key concern…

Retail Sales and Empire Manufacturing Dominate the U.S. Session

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

A new week begins dear readers, whereas more fundamentals from the world?s largest economy will be released, and accordingly we should be able to get a better picture over the current developments and the upcoming outlook, meanwhile, more U.S. companies will continue to announce their results this week, and accordingly…

11-16 Economic Calendar

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

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Positive Equities, And The Dollar Holds On

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The dollar index is trading lower at the start of the week driven by higher stocks and commodities, especially gold. As such, this recent long pull-back was probably just a black wave ii/b correction, which indicates at least one more push into recent lows is coming. Traders will remain bearish…

Forex Economic Calendar

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
11/16/2009 00:01 UK Rightmove House Prices (YoY) n/a 0.2%
11/16/2009 07:00 EU EU 25 New Car Registrations n/a 6.3%
11/16/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone CPI – Core (YoY) 1.1% 1.2%
11/16/2009 13:30 CA Manufacturing Sales MoM 1.7% -2.1%
11/16/2009 13:30 US Advance Retail Sales 0.9% -1.5%
11/16/2009 13:30 US Empire Manufacturing 30.00 34.57
11/16/2009 15:00 US Business Inventories -0.6% -1.5%
11/16/2009 17:15 US Speech–Chairman Ben S. Bernanke n/a n/a
11/16/2009 23:15 US Speech–Vice Chairman Donald L. Kohn n/a n/a
11/16/2009 23:50 JPN Tertiary Industry Index (MoM) 0.1% 0.3%
11/17/2009 00:30 AUS Reserve Bank’s Board November Minutes n/a n/a
11/17/2009 09:30 UK Core CPI (YoY) 1.8% 1.7%
11/17/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Trade Balance n/a -4.0B
11/17/2009 13:30 US PPI (YoY) -1.8% -4.8%
11/17/2009 14:00 US Total Net TIC Flows n/a $10.2B
11/17/2009 14:15 US Industrial Production 0.3% 0.7%
11/17/2009 18:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index 19 18
11/17/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
11/17/2009 22:05 AUS Australian Central Bank Official Debelle Speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
11/18/2009 00:00 AUS Westpac Leading Index (MoM) n/a 1.1%
11/18/2009 00:30 AUS Wage Cost Index YoY 3.6% 3.8%
11/18/2009 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a n/a
11/18/2009 08:40 EU Speech by Jean-Claude Trichet n/a n/a
11/18/2009 09:00 EU ECB Euro-Zone Current Account n/a -1.3B
11/18/2009 09:30 UK Bank of England Minutes n/a n/a
11/18/2009 10:00 EU Construction Output WDA YoY n/a -11.3%
11/18/2009 11:00 UK U.K. CBI November Industrial Trends Total Orders n/a n/a
11/18/2009 12:00 CA CPI YoY 0.1% -0.9%
11/18/2009 13:30 US CPI (YoY) -0.2% -1.3%
11/19/2009 00:30 AUS RBA Foreign Exchange Transactn n/a 830M
11/19/2009 01:00 AUS Australian Central Bank Official Guy Debelle Speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
11/19/2009 04:00 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting n/a n/a
11/19/2009 04:30 JPN All Industry Activity Index (MoM) -0.1% 0.9%
11/19/2009 05:00 JPN Coincident Index CI n/a 92.5
11/19/2009 09:30 UK Retail Sales (YoY) 2.9% 2.4%
11/19/2009 10:00 EU OECD November Economic Outlook (Table) n/a n/a
11/19/2009 13:30 CA Int’l Securities Transactions 3.00B 5.082B
11/19/2009 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims 505K 502K
11/19/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims 5598K 5631K
11/19/2009 14:00 US RPX Composite 28dy YoY n/a -9.76%
11/19/2009 15:00 US Philadelphia Fed. 12.0 11.5
11/19/2009 16:00 AUS Speech by Jean-Claude Trichet n/a n/a
11/20/2009 02:00 NZ Credit Card Spending (YoY) n/a -2.3%
11/20/2009 07:00 JPN Convenience Store Sales YoY n/a -5.6%
11/20/2009 07:00 GE Producer Prices (YoY) -7.5% -7.6%
11/20/2009 10:30 EU Speech by Jean-Claude Trichet n/a n/a
11/22/2009 21:45 NZ Visitor Arrivals n/a 3.8%
11/23/2009 00:30 AUS New Motor Vehicle Sales YoY n/a -2.0%
11/23/2009 05:00 JPN Supermarket Sales (YoY) n/a -2.4%
11/23/2009 08:30 GE PMI Manufacturing n/a 51.0
11/23/2009 09:00 EU PMI Manufacturing n/a 50.7
11/23/2009 13:30 CA Retail Sales MoM n/a 0.8%
11/23/2009 13:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index n/a -0.81
11/23/2009 15:00 US Existing Home Sales 5.65M 5.57M
11/23/2009 23:00 AUS Conference Board Leading Index n/a 1.8%
11/24/2009 05:00 JPN BOJ Monthly Report n/a n/a
11/24/2009 07:00 GE GDP nsa (YoY) n/a -7.1%
11/24/2009 09:00 GE IFO Surveys n/a n/a
11/24/2009 09:30 UK BBA Loans for House Purchase n/a 42088
11/24/2009 10:00 EU Industrial New Orders SA (YoY) n/a -23.1%
11/24/2009 13:30 US GDP Price Index 0.8% 0.8%
11/24/2009 14:00 US S&P/CS Composite-20 YoY n/a -11.32%
11/24/2009 15:00 US Consumer Confidence 48.1 47.7
11/24/2009 15:00 US Richmond Fed Manufact. Index n/a 7
11/24/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
11/24/2009 22:20 AUS Australian Central Bank Deputy Governor Speaks in Melbourne n/a n/a
11/24/2009 23:50 JPN Merchnds Trade Balance Total Yesn520.6B Yen525.3B
11/25/2009 00:00 AUS DEWR Skilled Vacancies MoM n/a 1.9%
11/25/2009 07:00 GE GfK Consumer Confidence Survey n/a n/a
11/25/2009 09:30 UK GDP (YoY) n/a -5.2%
11/25/2009 13:30 US Durable Goods Orders 0.6% 1.0%
11/25/2009 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
11/25/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
11/25/2009 15:00 US U. of Michigan Confidence n/a 66.0
11/25/2009 19:00 US Minutes of Nov. 4 FOMC Meeting n/a n/a
11/25/2009 23:50 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes n/a n/a
11/26/2009 00:30 AUS Private Capital Expenditure n/a 3.3%
11/26/2009 02:00 NZ NBNZ Business Confidence n/a 48.2
11/26/2009 09:00 EU Euro-Zone M3 s.a. (YoY) n/a 1.8%
11/26/2009 11:00 UK U.K. CBI Quarterly Distributive Trades n/a n/a
11/26/2009 21:45 NZ Trade Balance n/a -424M
11/26/2009 23:30 JPN Natl CPI YoY n/a -2.2%
11/26/2009 23:50 JPN Retail Trade YoY n/a -1.3%
11/27/2009 02:00 NZ Money Supply M3 YoY n/a 2.7%
11/27/2009 10:00 EU Business Climate Indicator n/a -1.78
11/27/2009 13:30 CA Current Acount (BOP) n/a -$11.2B

* Times listed are GMT

EURUSD: Broader Bias Remains Higher

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Although marginal gains were seen in early trading today followed with prices hesitation, the pair?s broader bias remains higher in the medium term suggesting its current price action is corrective of that trend. Its LT rising trendline and its major emas are pointing higher buttressing this view and suggesting further…

USDJPY: Eyes The 89.16/88.82 Levels

Nov 15, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The pair remains heavy and weak having closed lower the past week .It continues to retain its shorter term negative outlook and looks for further downside pressure towards its nearby support at its Nov 01?09 low at 89.16 followed by the 88.82 level, its Oct 14?09 high and then its…