Archive for November 5th, 2009

 

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

USD/JPY falls sharply in early US session and is set to dip further. Break of 89.99 minor support will suggest that recovery from 89.44 has completed at 91.26 already and will flip intraday bias back to the downside. As noted before, we’re still favoring the case that choppy rise from…

Mid-Day Report: Yen Soars as US Unemployment Rate Rose to 10.2%

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Yen rebounds sharply on risk aversion follow worst than expected non-farm payroll report from US. Job market contract slightly more than expected by -190k in October, worse than consensus of -165K. Though, that was somewhat leveled off by upward revision of September’s number from -263K to -219K. Nevertheless, the shock…

Low Momentum Trade – Except For Cad

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Overall, the overnight session proved to be very slow in the currency market, with the major pairs moving on thin momentum. The same trading behavior was seen during the prior day of trading, when the currency market on Thursday barely moved. The chances are that the market will start to…

11-6 Economic Calendar

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

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Unemployment Probably Rose to 9.9% in the United States, as Employers Shed 175K Jobs in October!

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Investors are waiting impatiently for the infamous jobs report, as it should provide a better picture for the current conditions in the U.S. labor market, though we all know that the labor market is still under pressure from the ongoing economic weakness and will probably remain under pressure over the…

Forex Economic Calendar

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
11/6/2009 00:01 UK NIESR GDP Estimate n/a 0.0%
11/6/2009 00:30 AUS Reserve Bank Quarterly Monetary Policy Statement n/a n/a
11/6/2009 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI n/a 83.2
11/6/2009 05:30 AUS Foreign Reserves n/a 48.9B
11/6/2009 06:20 AUS Australian Deputy Governor Ric Battellino Speaks in Perth n/a n/a
11/6/2009 09:30 UK PPI Output Core NSA (YoY) n/a 1.4%
11/6/2009 11:00 GE Factory Orders YoY (nsa) n/a -20.4%
11/6/2009 12:00 CA Net Change in Employment n/a 30.6K
11/6/2009 13:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls -164K -263K
11/6/2009 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories -1.0% -1.3%
11/6/2009 20:00 US Consumer Credit -$9.0B -$12.0B
11/9/2009 00:30 AUS ANZ Job Advertisements (MoM) n/a 4.4%
11/9/2009 03:00 AUS Australian Central Bank Asst. Governor Lowe Speaks in Perth n/a n/a
11/9/2009 07:00 GE Trade Balance n/a 8.1B
11/9/2009 09:30 EU Sentix Investor Confidence n/a -12.6
11/9/2009 11:00 GE Industrial Prod. YoY (nsa wda) n/a -16.8%
11/9/2009 13:15 CA Housing Starts 154.0K 149.3K
11/9/2009 21:45 NZ NZ Card Spending (MoM) n/a 0.7
11/9/2009 23:00 AUS Australian Central Bank Official John Broadbent Speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
11/9/2009 23:50 JPN Current Account Total n/a YEN1171.2B
11/10/2009 00:01 UK RICS House Price Balance n/a 22.0%
11/10/2009 00:30 AUS NAB Business Conditions n/a 3
11/10/2009 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a -62.1%
11/10/2009 07:00 GE CPI (YoY) n/a 0.0%
11/10/2009 09:30 UK Total Trade Balance (GBP/Mln) n/a -GBP2318
11/10/2009 10:00 GE ZEW Surveys n/a n/a
11/10/2009 15:00 US IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism n/a 48.7
11/10/2009 21:45 NZ Food Prices (MoM) n/a -0.7%
11/10/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
11/10/2009 23:30 AUS Westpac Consumer Confidence n/a 1.7%
11/10/2009 23:50 JPN Machine Orders YoY% n/a -26.5%
11/11/2009 09:30 UK ILO Unemployment Rate n/a 7.9%
11/11/2009 10:30 UK Bank of England Quarterly Inflation Report n/a n/a
11/11/2009 12:00 US Bloomberg Global Confidence n/a 61.70
11/11/2009 21:45 NZ Retail Sales (MoM) n/a 1.1%
11/11/2009 23:50 JPN Domestic CGPI (MoM) .1%
11/11/2009 23:50 JPN Domestic CGPI (YoY) -7.9%
11/11/2009 23:50 JPN Loans & Discounts Corp YofY 1.8%
11/12/2009 00:00 AUS Consumer Inflation Expectation n/a 3.5%
11/12/2009 00:30 AUS Employment Change n/a 40.6K
11/12/2009 00:30 AUS Participation Rate n/a 65.2%
11/12/2009 04:00 JPN Tokyo Condominuim Sales YoY 26.2%
11/12/2009 09:00 EU Euro-Zone Ind Prod. wda YoY -15.4%
11/12/2009 09:00 EU ECB Publishes Nov Monthly Report
11/12/2009 13:30 CA New Housing Price Index MoM .1%
11/12/2009 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims
11/12/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims
11/13/2009 02:00 NZ Non Resident Bond Holdings n/a 72.1%
11/13/2009 04:30 JPN Industrial Production YoY -18.9%
11/13/2009 05:00 JPN Consumer Confidence 40.7
11/13/2009 07:00 GE GDP nsa (YoY) n/a -7.1%
11/13/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone CPI (YoY) n/a -0.3%
11/13/2009 12:30 CA Int’l Merchandise Trade n/a -2.0B
11/13/2009 13:30 US Trade Balance -$32.0B -$30.7B
11/13/2009 15:00 US U. of Michigan Confidence n/a 70.6

* Times listed are GMT

FX Thoughts for the Day

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Cable traded in a narrow range through the day moving between 1.6588 to 1.6635 as the Resistance at 1.6642 continued to hold. Simultaneously it is taking Support immediately from the trendline on the hourly chart, formed by connecting the lows of 1.6260 (3-Nov), 1.6465 (5-Nov), 1.6488 (5-Nov) and 1.6588 (6-Nov)…

Euro Payroll Gains Set to Fade

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Short-term dollar direction will inevitably be determined by the US payroll report. A better than expected report would tend to support risk appetite and also maintain the risk of dollar selling while a weak report would tend to increase risk aversion. There will still be important risks surrounding the Euro-zone…

EURUSD – Trades Above The 1.4844 level

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The pair remains hesitant giving back its intra day losses to test a high of 1.4917 before closing marginally higher at 1.4876 on Thursday. Though currently trading above its key resistance at the 1.4844 level, a firm hold above there is required to signal further upside strength. Potential for additional…

USDJPY: Weakness Still Seen

Nov 05, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Although USDJPY reversed its intra day losses to close higher on Thursday, while holding below the 91.31 level and within its falling channel, threats remain to the downside. With weakness currently seen, lower prices should develop towards the 90.06 and the 89.97 levels with a clearance of there targeting the…