Archive for October 29th, 2009

 

$ Index: Wave Two Structure

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

On the four hour chart above, traders may notice the latest 76.57 top around the trend-line resistance that looks to be the top of a black wave i, (which pushed the prices lower into a corrective wave ii). The most typical Fibonacci retracement level of a corrective wave two…

USD & JPY Higher, BOJ to End Corporate Bond Purchases

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD is trading higher as the global equity market rally slows and investors try to assess risk, the BOJ leaves monetary policy unchanged and will end corporate bond purchases, EU inflation remains negative and unemployment rises, Fitch downgrades seven UK building societies, Swiss KOF rises more than expected, Australia’s…

Currencies Stall In European Trade

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Overall, following the pattern laid over the last few days of trading, the overnight session proved very slow in the currency market. Since the Friday session opened, the major pairs have barely moved, only swinging around the break-even line. The same could be observed in the main financial markets, with…

FX Thoughts for the Day

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Cable fell towards 1.6508 during the day today. Longs near 1.65 may be attempted as there’s potential bull flag in the making. The rise may come about today/early next week. However, there’s US Personal Income numbers scheduled for today. Any positive surprises would confirm the bull flag. Week close above…

Intervention Rumours Support Dollar

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The US GDP data has helped revive risk appetite and this has curbed immediate defensive dollar demand. Nevertheless, there will still be very serious doubts over the sustainability of the global recovery and risk appetite is likely to be generally more cautious in the short term. There will be some…

Forex Economic Calendar

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
10/30/2009 00:00 JPN BoJ Target Rate n/a 0.10%
10/30/2009 00:01 UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey -14 -16
10/30/2009 00:30 AUS Private Sector Credit YoY% 2.0% 2.5%
10/30/2009 05:00 JPN Housing Starts (YoY) -37.1% -38.3%
10/30/2009 07:00 GE Retail Sales (YoY) -2.2% -2.6%
10/30/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 9.7% 9.6%
10/30/2009 12:30 CA GDP MoM 0.1% 0.0%
10/30/2009 12:30 US PCE Core (YoY) 1.3% 1.3%
10/30/2009 13:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager 48.3 46.1
10/30/2009 14:00 US U. of Michigan Confidence 72.2 69.4
10/30/2009 20:15 US Bloomberg FCI Monthly n/a n/a
11/1/2009 22:30 AUS AiG Performance of Mfg Index n/a 52.0
11/1/2009 23:30 AUS TD Securities Inflation MoM% n/a 0.0%
11/2/2009 00:01 UK Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) n/a -5.6%
11/2/2009 00:30 AUS House Price Index YoY n/a -1.4%
11/2/2009 01:30 JPN Labor Cash Earnings YoY n/a -3.1%
11/2/2009 05:00 JPN Vehicle Sales (YoY) n/a 3.5%
11/2/2009 05:30 AUS RBA Commodity Index SDR YoY% n/a -32.3%
11/2/2009 08:55 GE PMI Manufacturing n/a 51.1
11/2/2009 09:00 EU PMI Manufacturing n/a 50.7
11/2/2009 09:30 UK PMI Manufacturing n/a 49.5
11/2/2009 15:00 US ISM Manufacturing 53.1 52.6
11/2/2009 21:45 NZ Average Hourly Earnings QoQ n/a 0.7%
11/3/2009 02:00 NZ ANZ Commodity Price n/a 6.8%
11/3/2009 03:30 AUS RBA CASH TARGET 3.50% 3.25%
11/3/2009 09:30 UK PMI Construction n/a 46.7
11/3/2009 15:00 US Factory Orders 1.1% -0.8%
11/3/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
11/3/2009 22:30 AUS AiG Performance of Service Index n/a 49.3
11/3/2009 23:50 JPN Monetary Base (YoY) n/a 4.5%
11/4/2009 00:01 UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence n/a 71
11/4/2009 00:30 AUS Building Approvals (YoY) n/a 0.0%
11/4/2009 08:55 GE PMI Services n/a 50.9
11/4/2009 09:00 EU PMI Services n/a 52.3
11/4/2009 09:30 UK Official Reserves (Changes) n/a $1665M
11/4/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone PPI (YoY) n/a -7.5%
11/4/2009 10:30 UK BRC October Shop Price Index n/a n/a
11/4/2009 12:30 US Challenger Job Cuts YoY n/a -30.2%
11/4/2009 13:15 US ADP Employment Change -187K -254K
11/4/2009 15:00 US ISM Non-Manf. Composite 52.0 50.9
11/4/2009 19:15 US FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
11/4/2009 21:45 NZ Unemployment Rate n/a 6.0%
11/4/2009 23:50 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes n/a n/a
11/5/2009 00:30 AUS Trade Balance n/a -1524M
11/5/2009 08:55 AUS Australian Central Bank Governor Stevens Speaks in Melbourne n/a n/a
11/5/2009 09:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) n/a -11.2%
11/5/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) n/a -2.6%
11/5/2009 12:00 UK BOE ANNOUNCES RATES 0.50% 0.50%
11/5/2009 12:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates n/a 1.00%
11/5/2009 13:30 CA Building Permits MoM n/a 7.2%
11/5/2009 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
11/5/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
11/5/2009 15:00 CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index n/a 61.7
11/5/2009 16:00 US ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY n/a 0.1%
11/5/2009 22:30 AUS AiG Perf of Construction Index n/a 50.8
11/6/2009 00:01 UK NIESR GDP Estimate n/a 0.0%
11/6/2009 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI n/a 83.2
11/6/2009 05:30 AUS Foreign Reserves n/a 48.9B
11/6/2009 09:30 UK PPI Output Core NSA (YoY) n/a 1.4%
11/6/2009 11:00 GE Factory Orders YoY (nsa) n/a -20.4%
11/6/2009 12:00 CA Net Change in Employment n/a 30.6K
11/6/2009 13:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls -164K -263K
11/6/2009 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories -1.0% -1.3%
11/6/2009 20:00 US Consumer Credit -$9.0B -$12.0B

* Times listed are GMT

London Session Recap

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

It is undoubtedly a good thing that the US economy pulled itself out of recession in the third quarter but market pricing this morning reflects only cautious optimism. While stocks in Asian hours had the added benefit of some good corporate earnings, EUR/USD remains below yesterday?s best levels and the…

Currency Technical Report

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Support at 1,4680 area managed to limit euro?s decline and the reach of the lower Bollinger in the daily chart, combined with the strong positive candle, indicate that a reversal is possible? Yesterday?s reaction led to 1,4840-60 resistance, but retracements remained weak. A rise resumption is possible if 1,4760-70 is…

Japan: BoJ Unwinds Non-Conventional Easing

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Bank of Japan (BoJ) at today’s monetary meeting announced plans to scrap most of its non-conventional easing measures. In addition, BoJ published new macroeconomic forecasts. BoJ’s view of the economy remains benign and it expects deflation to prevail well into 2011. The termination of most of BoJ’s non-conventional easing measures…

Currency Pair Daily Forecasts

Oct 29, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

EUR/USD-market strategy can be a sell from the level 1.4861$ To strengthen our analysis; we use many other indicators, starting with MACD (Moving Averages convergence divergence); we notice the MACD lines after a bearish crossover above the zero line. In order to find the power of the market, we use…