Archive for October 27th, 2009

 

USD Higher as Stocks Weaken and Risk Appetite Fade

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD and JPY are trading higher supported by declining equity markets sparked by concern that the global economy may slow as central bank began to withdraw economic stimulus measures, Bank of Ireland shares fall 15% sending European equities sharply lower, commodity currencies pressured by equity market weakness, AUD erases…

Northern Rock Toxic Assets Separated to New Unit

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

As the nation lacked major economic data we see today the nation first bank that was nationalized, Northern Rock to split the tainted assets from the banks balance and into a new unit as a way to help the bank stabilize, yet the financial institution are waiting to be approved…

Import Price Index Dropped in Germany, While Italian Business Confidence Surged

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The Euro Zone lacked fundamentals today; however, there was data released from the region’s largest economies. Germany released its import price index, while Italy released its business confidence for October. In Germany, the biggest economy in the euro area, import price index for September slumped to -0.9% from the previous…

Forex Economic Calendar

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
10/28/2009 00:00 AUS DEWR Skilled Vacancies MoM n/a 1.2%
10/28/2009 00:00 AUS RBA Assistant Governor Edey Speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
10/28/2009 00:30 AUS Consumer Prices (YoY) 1.2% 1.5%
10/28/2009 02:00 NZ NBNZ Business Confidence n/a 49.1
10/28/2009 05:00 JPN Small Business Confidence n/a 43.5
10/28/2009 07:00 GE Import Price Index (YoY) -10.7% -10.9%
10/28/2009 12:30 US Durable Goods Orders 0.5% -2.4%
10/28/2009 14:00 US New Home Sales 440K 429K
10/28/2009 20:00 NZ RBNZ Official Cash Rate 2.50% 2.50%
10/28/2009 21:45 NZ Trade Balance -681M -725M
10/28/2009 21:45 NZ NZ Trade Balance 12 Mth YTD -1803.0 -2365.0
10/28/2009 23:50 JPN Industrial Production YoY% -19.3% -19.0%
10/29/2009 00:00 AUS Conference Board Leading Index n/a 0.7%
10/29/2009 00:00 AUS HIA New Home Sales (MoM) n/a 11.4%
10/29/2009 02:00 NZ Money Supply M3 YoY n/a 3.5%
10/29/2009 04:00 JPN Vehicle Production (YoY) n/a -25.9%
10/29/2009 08:55 GE Unemployment Change (000′s) 15K -12K
10/29/2009 09:30 UK M4 Money Supply (YoY) n/a 11.3%
10/29/2009 10:00 EU Business Climate Indicator -1.90 -2.07
10/29/2009 12:30 CA Industrial Product Price MoM -0.2% 0.5%
10/29/2009 12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
10/29/2009 12:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
10/29/2009 13:00 GE IFO Oct. Business Climate Survey by Industry (Table) n/a n/a
10/29/2009 21:45 NZ Building Permits MoM 4.0% 1.7%
10/29/2009 23:15 JPN Nomura/JMMA Manufacturing PM n/a 54.5
10/29/2009 23:50 JPN Natl CPI YoY -2.2% -2.2%
10/30/2009 00:00 JPN BoJ Target Rate n/a 0.10%
10/30/2009 00:01 UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey -14 -16
10/30/2009 00:30 AUS Private Sector Credit YoY% 2.0% 2.5%
10/30/2009 05:00 JPN Housing Starts (YoY) -37.1% -38.3%
10/30/2009 07:00 GE Retail Sales (YoY) -2.2% -2.6%
10/30/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate 9.7% 9.6%
10/30/2009 12:30 CA GDP MoM 0.1% 0.0%
10/30/2009 12:30 US PCE Core (YoY) 1.3% 1.3%
10/30/2009 13:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager 48.3 46.1
10/30/2009 14:00 US U. of Michigan Confidence 72.2 69.4
10/30/2009 20:15 US Bloomberg FCI Monthly n/a n/a
11/1/2009 22:30 AUS AiG Performance of Mfg Index n/a 52.0
11/1/2009 23:30 AUS TD Securities Inflation MoM% n/a 0.0%
11/2/2009 00:01 UK Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) n/a -5.6%
11/2/2009 00:30 AUS House Price Index YoY n/a -1.4%
11/2/2009 01:30 JPN Labor Cash Earnings YoY n/a -3.1%
11/2/2009 05:00 JPN Vehicle Sales (YoY) n/a 3.5%
11/2/2009 05:30 AUS RBA Commodity Index SDR YoY% n/a -32.3%
11/2/2009 08:55 GE PMI Manufacturing n/a 51.1
11/2/2009 09:00 EU PMI Manufacturing n/a 50.7
11/2/2009 09:30 UK PMI Manufacturing n/a 49.5
11/2/2009 15:00 US ISM Manufacturing 53.1 52.6
11/2/2009 21:45 NZ Average Hourly Earnings QoQ n/a 0.7%
11/3/2009 02:00 NZ ANZ Commodity Price n/a 6.8%
11/3/2009 03:30 AUS RBA CASH TARGET 3.50% 3.25%
11/3/2009 09:30 UK PMI Construction n/a 46.7
11/3/2009 15:00 US Factory Orders 1.1% -0.8%
11/3/2009 22:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
11/3/2009 22:30 AUS AiG Performance of Service Index n/a 49.3
11/3/2009 23:50 JPN Monetary Base (YoY) n/a 4.5%
11/4/2009 00:01 UK Nationwide Consumer Confidence n/a 71
11/4/2009 00:30 AUS Building Approvals (YoY) n/a 0.0%
11/4/2009 08:55 GE PMI Services n/a 50.9
11/4/2009 09:00 EU PMI Services n/a 52.3
11/4/2009 09:30 UK Official Reserves (Changes) n/a $1665M
11/4/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone PPI (YoY) n/a -7.5%
11/4/2009 10:30 UK BRC October Shop Price Index n/a n/a
11/4/2009 12:30 US Challenger Job Cuts YoY n/a -30.2%
11/4/2009 13:15 US ADP Employment Change -187K -254K
11/4/2009 15:00 US ISM Non-Manf. Composite 52.0 50.9
11/4/2009 19:15 US FOMC Rate Decision 0.25% 0.25%
11/4/2009 21:45 NZ Unemployment Rate n/a 6.0%
11/4/2009 23:50 JPN BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes n/a n/a
11/5/2009 00:30 AUS Trade Balance n/a -1524M
11/5/2009 08:55 AUS Australian Central Bank Governor Stevens Speaks in Melbourne n/a n/a
11/5/2009 09:30 UK Industrial Production (YoY) n/a -11.2%
11/5/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Retail Sales (YoY) n/a -2.6%
11/5/2009 12:00 UK BOE ANNOUNCES RATES 0.50% 0.50%
11/5/2009 12:45 EU ECB Announces Interest Rates n/a 1.00%
11/5/2009 13:30 CA Building Permits MoM n/a 7.2%
11/5/2009 13:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
11/5/2009 13:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
11/5/2009 15:00 CA Ivey Purchasing Managers Index n/a 61.7
11/5/2009 16:00 US ICSC Chain Store Sales YoY n/a 0.1%
11/5/2009 22:30 AUS AiG Perf of Construction Index n/a 50.8
11/6/2009 00:01 UK NIESR GDP Estimate n/a 0.0%
11/6/2009 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI n/a 83.2
11/6/2009 05:30 AUS Foreign Reserves n/a 48.9B
11/6/2009 09:30 UK PPI Output Core NSA (YoY) n/a 1.4%
11/6/2009 11:00 GE Factory Orders YoY (nsa) n/a -20.4%
11/6/2009 12:00 CA Net Change in Employment n/a 30.6K
11/6/2009 13:30 US Change in Nonfarm Payrolls -164K -263K
11/6/2009 15:00 US Wholesale Inventories -1.0% -1.3%
11/6/2009 20:00 US Consumer Credit -$9.0B -$12.0B

* Times listed are GMT

FX Thoughts for the Day

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Swiss has risen during the day from the low of 1.0191. Immediate Resistance is seen at 1.0250, a break above which might see a rise towards 1.0280-0300 in the US session today. Note that 1.0292 is the 61.8% retracement level of the fall from 1.0452 (01-Oct) to 1.0034 (21-Oct). And…

EURUSD – Outlook Bearish Below The 1.4844/1.5000 Levels

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

As a follow through lower on the pair’s collapse off the 1.5062 level saw it violating key support at the 1.4844 level, its Sept 23’09 high on Tuesday, threats of further downside is now seen towards the 1.4699 level, its daily 50 ema and its Oct 09’09 low at 1.4672….

GBPUSD – Still Vulnerable To The Downside

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Although GBP maintained a positive close on Tuesday, that occurred below the 1.6466 level, its strong resistance which must be taken out to signal a move higher targeting the 1.6692 level, its Oct 23’09 high. Until this materializes, downside pressure is still expected towards its Sept 30’09 high at 1.6124…

Technical Analysis Daily: USD/JPY

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Dollar/Yen tried to climb on Tuesday, but failed to break up the key resistance at 92.32, dropping later down to 91.60, and closing the day at 91.76, indicating reversal bearish trend. 90.93 remains a strong support today. Convincing break under that level may seriously shake the upward scenario and lead…

Dollar, And Japanese Yen Strengthen Overnight

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Overall, the declines seen in the equity market sent the major pairs into risk aversion mode during the European session. The dollar showed some signs of strength for the third consecutive day, while the Japanese yen advanced against every other major currency. As long as the equity markets stay in…

US Recovery Seems To Be Losing Momentum

Oct 27, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Risk appetite was slightly weaker in the Asian session, as equity markets failed to shake off a weak US consumer confidence figure. The USD strengthened as a consequence, with the commodity currencies losing the most ground. We believe the markets are starting to really take notice of the mounting disparity…