Archive for October 18th, 2009

 

Candlesticks and Ichimoku Trade Ideas Performance Update

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The greenback came under broad-based selling pressure last week partly due to record gold price and surging oil prices, that is the reason we exited our long position in USD/CHF (entered at 1.0290) with small losses and thereafter we have been giving sell recommendations on this currency pair.

USD & GBP Lower, BOE May Extend Quantitative Ease

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

The USD is trading mixed to mostly lower as equity markets rise and the trade expects the Fed to keep interest rates low for an extended period, high yield currencies rally, GBP was pressured by a statement from BOE’s Posen that suggests he may call for an increase in the…

Forex Economic Calendar

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Opportunities

Date Time* Source Description Forecast Previous
10/19/2009 02:00 AUS RBA Assistant Governor Lowe Speaks in Sydney n/a n/a
10/19/2009 05:30 JPN Tokyo Dept. Store Sales (YoY) n/a -10.3%
10/19/2009 12:30 CA Int’l Securities Transactions 3.000B 0.351B
10/19/2009 17:00 US NAHB Housing Market Index 20 19
10/20/2009 00:30 AUS Reserve Bank Board October Minutes n/a n/a
10/20/2009 05:00 JPN Leading Index CI n/a 83.3
10/20/2009 06:00 JPN Machine Tool Orders (YoY) n/a -61.9%
10/20/2009 06:00 GE Producer Prices (YoY) -7.1% -6.9%
10/20/2009 07:00 JPN Convenience Store Sales YoY n/a -5.5%
10/20/2009 08:30 UK M4 Money Supply (YoY) 11.4% 12.5%
10/20/2009 09:00 EU Construction Output WDA YoY n/a -10.8%
10/20/2009 12:30 CA Wholesale Sales MoM -0.5% 2.8%
10/20/2009 12:30 US Producer Price Index (YoY) -4.3% -4.3%
10/20/2009 13:00 CA Bank of Canada Rate 0.25% 0.25%
10/20/2009 21:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
10/20/2009 21:45 NZ Visitor Arrivals n/a -0.8%
10/21/2009 00:00 AUS Westpac Leading Index (MoM) n/a 1.1%
10/21/2009 00:30 AUS New Motor Vehicle Sales YoY n/a -6.2%
10/21/2009 02:00 NZ Credit Card Spending (YoY) n/a 0.1%
10/21/2009 08:30 UK Bank of England Minutes n/a n/a
10/21/2009 10:00 UK U.K. CBI Quarterly Industrial Trends Total Orders n/a n/a
10/21/2009 18:00 US Fed’s Beige Book n/a n/a
10/21/2009 23:50 JPN Merchnds Trade Imports YoY -38.0 -41.3
10/22/2009 00:30 AUS CBAHIA House Affordability n/a 152.5
10/22/2009 04:30 JPN All Industry Activity Index MoM 0.4% 0.5%
10/22/2009 05:00 JPN Supermarket Sales (YoY) n/a -3.4%
10/22/2009 08:00 EU ECB Euro-Zone Current Account n/a 6.6B
10/22/2009 08:30 UK Retail Sales (YoY) 2.8% 2.1%
10/22/2009 09:00 EU Euro-Zone Govt Debt/GDP Ratio n/a 69.3%
10/22/2009 12:30 CA Retail Sales MoM 0.4% -0.6%
10/22/2009 12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims 517K 514K
10/22/2009 12:30 US Continuing Claims 5990K 5992K
10/22/2009 13:00 US RPX Composite 28dy YoY n/a -12.46%
10/22/2009 14:00 US Leading Indicators 0.7% 0.6%
10/22/2009 14:30 CA Bank of Canada Monetary Policy Report n/a n/a
10/23/2009 00:30 AUS Import Price Index (QoQ) -2.8% -6.4%
10/23/2009 07:30 GE PMI Manufacturing 50.1 49.6
10/23/2009 08:00 GE IFO Surveys n/a n/a
10/23/2009 08:30 UK GDP (YoY) -4.6% -5.5%
10/23/2009 09:00 EU Industrial New Orders SA (YoY) -22.5% -24.3%
10/23/2009 14:00 US Existing Home Sales 5.40M 5.10M
10/26/2009 00:01 UK Hometrack Housing Survey (YoY) n/a -5.6%
10/26/2009 00:30 AUS PPI (YoY) n/a 2.1%
10/26/2009 07:00 GE GfK Consumer Confidence Survey n/a 4.3
10/26/2009 12:30 US Chicago Fed Nat Activity Index n/a -0.90
10/26/2009 14:30 US Dallas Fed Manf. Activity n/a -6.4%
10/27/2009 09:00 EU Euro-Zone M3 s.a. (YoY) n/a 2.5%
10/27/2009 11:00 UK U.K. CBI October Distributive Trades n/a n/a
10/27/2009 13:00 US S&P/CS Composite-20 YoY -11.30% -13.30%
10/27/2009 14:00 US Consumer Confidence 54.4 53.1
10/27/2009 21:00 US ABC Consumer Confidence n/a n/a
10/27/2009 23:50 JPN Retail Trade YoY n/a -1.8%
10/28/2009 00:30 AUS Consumer Prices (YoY) n/a n/a
10/28/2009 01:00 AUS DEWR Skilled Vacancies MoM n/a 1.2%
10/28/2009 02:00 NZ NBNZ Business Confidence n/a 49.1
10/28/2009 12:30 US Durable Goods Orders 0.5% -2.4%
10/28/2009 14:00 US New Home Sales 440K 429K
10/28/2009 20:00 NZ RBNZ Official Cash Rate 2.50% 2.50%
10/28/2009 21:45 NZ Trade Balance n/a -725M
10/28/2009 23:50 JPN Industrial Production YoY% n/a -19.0%
10/29/2009 00:00 AUS Conference Board Leading Index n/a 0.7%
10/29/2009 01:00 AUS HIA New Home Sales (MoM) n/a 11.4%
10/29/2009 02:00 NZ Money Supply M3 YoY n/a 3.5%
10/29/2009 04:00 JPN Vehicle Production (YoY) n/a -25.9%
10/29/2009 08:55 GE Unemployment Change (000′s) n/a -12K
10/29/2009 09:30 UK M4 Money Supply (YoY) n/a n/a
10/29/2009 10:00 EU Business Climate Indicator n/a -2.07
10/29/2009 12:30 CA Industrial Product Price MoM n/a 0.5%
10/29/2009 12:30 US Initial Jobless Claims n/a n/a
10/29/2009 12:30 US Continuing Claims n/a n/a
10/29/2009 21:45 NZ Building Permits MoM n/a 1.7%
10/29/2009 23:50 JPN Natl CPI YoY n/a -2.2%
10/30/2009 00:00 JPN BoJ Target Rate n/a 0.10%
10/30/2009 00:01 UK GfK Consumer Confidence Survey n/a -16
10/30/2009 00:30 AUS Private Sector Credit YoY% n/a 2.5%
10/30/2009 05:00 JPN Housing Starts (YoY) n/a -38.3%
10/30/2009 10:00 EU Euro-Zone Unemployment Rate n/a 9.6%
10/30/2009 12:30 CA GDP MoM n/a 0.0%
10/30/2009 12:30 US PCE Core (YoY) 1.3% 1.3%
10/30/2009 13:45 US Chicago Purchasing Manager 48.3 46.1
10/30/2009 14:00 US U. of Michigan Confidence 72.2 69.4
10/30/2009 20:15 US Bloomberg FCI Monthly n/a n/a

* Times listed are GMT

Euro Elliott Wave 4 Hour and Daily Review

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Eur/Usd is still trading near to the yearly highs, albeit with a very slow price action that has the personality of a correction move. As such, traders should look for a further move higher in the current red wave III (shown below), that is a sub-wave of a larger wave…

EURJPY: Set To Breakout Of Its Symmetrical Triangle

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Having maintained a third week of upside gains following its failure below its triangle bottom at 130.24 and subsequent recovery higher, the cross now looks to build on those gains with eyes on the breakout of the mentioned symmetrical triangle. If this is seen, scope for further higher prices will…

GBPUSD: Hesitation To Price Digestion

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Weakness in early trading today following the pair’s marginal close on Friday remains suggestive of price exhaustion after GBP’s run off the 1.5706 level to a high of 1.6399 the past week. However, the nearer term price run to the upside remains valid while its Sept 30’09 high at 1.6124…

Euro Zone’s Economic Data Raises Concerns, Yet Waiting for Confirmation this Week

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

After the progress seen recently in the euro zone, the data released last week ignited fears and raised concerns the recovery may derail. Although the economy succeeded in the second quarter to ease the pace of contraction to 0.2% from 2.5% in the first quarter, it is still suffering from…

A Smooth Start ahead of BoE Minutes and Third Quarter GDP

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

A new economic week strolls in the United Kingdom as over the weekend we saw that Rightmove, the largest residential website in the economy posting that house prices climbed the most in six years therefore continuing to support the fact that the housing sector is bottoming out. Rightmove posted that…

FX Thoughts for the Day

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Cable GBP-USD @ 1.6291/95…Watch Resistance 1.6420-50. Cable has bounced back after recording a low of 1.6240. The Resistance at 1.6420-50 is the region to be watched closely. A break of this can be very bullish for the pair. Our Short at 1.6301 has been exited at 1.6290 bagging 11 pips.

Dollar Weakens At Near-Term Support

Oct 18, 2009 in Grow Financially, Investment Protection, Opportunities

Overall, the dollar index headed lower during the Asian session, but still somehow managed to find a (temporary) bottom during the European trading hours. The only major pair that did not advance against dollar was the pound, which also was the weakest pair over the last few weeks of trading….